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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 01, 2025 02:40
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3650-3725

Mark Price

3718.23

Actual Price

3654.53

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger percent_b is 0.100615; the price is close to the lower band, indicating a further downside risk.
  • RSI6 is 11.5633, indicating extreme short-term overselling, but RSI12 and RSI14 are also weak, making a strong rebound unlikely.
  • MACD is at -28.7506, with an enlarging death cross, signifying ongoing bearish momentum release.
  • KDJ lines are falling with the J value at an extreme low, showing no reversal signs in the market yet.
  • DMI_minus is higher than DMI_plus, and the ADX is 20.1987, indicating that the bearish trend is favored but with moderate strength.
  • The active buy-sell ratio is 0.8728, demonstrating that selling dominates in the short term, with obvious selling pressure.
  • The funding rate is negative, reflecting a generally bearish market with strong short-selling intent.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The Bollinger Bands indicate that ETHUSDT has already fallen near the lower band, showing a technical rebound need in the short term, but the percent_b is extremely low. Such extreme data generally requires digestion of the bearish sentiment and may continue to push to new lows. The RSI6 is in an extreme oversold condition, but RSI12/14/24 remain weak, suggesting that although there is some short-term rebound expectation due to overselling, the overall weak structure is not optimistic. The MACD is at -28.75, with a death cross that continues to enlarge, indicating bearish momentum dominates the 4-hour cycle. The KDJ indicator's J line is significantly below the K and D lines, approaching extreme low levels in the short term, but a rebound momentum has not yet formed, with the overall outlook still bearish. DMI_minus is far above DMI_plus, and although the ADX is not high, it still indicates that a downtrend has begun. If the ADX continues to strengthen downward, the space for decline will be larger. The active buy-sell ratio on the exchange is only 0.87, indicating that there is more active selling in the market in the short term. The funding rate is negative, also showing that short-sellers hold the advantage. Both long and short accounts, as well as large holders' positions, are predominantly long, but when combined with short-term candlestick patterns and indicators, it suggests a risk of passively stop-loss by leveraged long positions, with a higher probability of decline than rebound in the short term. The resistance and support R1 zone is well above the current price, and S1/S2/S3 levels are quite distant. The current price is approaching a local bottom in the short term. If the price breaks below 3700, the next target would be around 3650. If it holds above 3700, a consolidation near 3720 is expected. Overall, ETHUSDT is in a weak correction phase in the short term, testing support in the 3650-3725 area. Failure to rebound quickly increases the risk of further decline. It is recommended to observe primarily; aggressive traders may short with small positions, with a stop-loss at 3800.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(11.5633) rsi12(38.5394) rsi14(45.2111)
  • MACD:dif(-7.3473) dea(7.028) macd(-28.7506)
  • MA:ma5(3754.74) ma10(3754.74) ma20(3792.24)
  • Boll:up(3885.14) mid(3792.24) down(3699.35)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6292403.861 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.0%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.6631
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 01, 2025 02:40

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd2001

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.