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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 01, 2025 00:24
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

3560-3620

Mark Price

3695.84

Actual Price

3683.45

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Price is close to the lower Bollinger Band (current price 3695.84, lower band 3694.15), with percent_b at a very low 0.006189, indicating a tendency for breakdown.
  • MACD shows a strongly green bar (dif -9.1574, dea 6.666, macd -31.6467), indicating strong downward momentum with no sign of reversing.
  • Short-term RSI values (rsi6: 0.1138, rsi12: 35.1698, rsi14: 42.5185) are extremely low, reflecting persistent weakness without divergence indicating a bottom.
  • KDJ lines are in a severe death cross (k 34.26 < d 49.15, j 4.48), very low, with a high probability of continued weakening.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is 0.8728 (<1), indicating a dominant short-selling sentiment; the negative funding rate further supports a bearish outlook.
  • The long/short open interest ratio leans slightly bullish, but the number of accounts is not yet significantly imbalanced, suggesting large traders are betting on longs but market follow-through is lacking, making rebounds difficult.
  • Support levels such as R1 are far above the current price; recent support at S1 is at 2965.78. Short-term, there is a lack of strong support, increasing the likelihood of inertial downward moves.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has shown signs of a trending decline over the past several periods. All key technical indicators (MACD, RSI, KDJ) are fully in oversold or bearish crossover states, especially with the MACD green bars widening, indicating a clear downward channel. The current rebound is extremely weak. The width of the Bollinger Bands has narrowed, but the current price has already approached or even near the lower band, with percent_b at only 0.006, making further decline or piercing below the band highly likely. In the short term, there is a lack of effective support, and although volatility and ATR are at low levels, they do not support a substantial rebound; any rebound will be constrained by the prevailing downtrend. Trading volume shows little change; sentiment indicators such as buy/sell ratios and negative funding rates both lean bearish. Although large traders are attempting to bottom fish, the market has not reached extreme panic levels. Under divergence, the momentum for bottom fishing is being continuously depleted. Overall funding conditions do not support a reversal. The short-term moving averages (MA5: 3750.2, MA10: 3783.8, MA20: 3791.1) are all declining and are significantly above the current price, exhibiting a typical bearish alignment. The upward momentum is very weak, and short-term gains are unlikely to be sustained. It is expected that the 4-hour timeframe will continue to oscillate and weaken, with a target range of 3560–3620. If local rebounds are unsustainable, the price will still test the support level at the round figure of 3600. Should a volume-driven break occur, caution is advised as it could accelerate the decline towards S1. Practical trading suggestions primarily include selling on rallies and avoiding long positions. For short positions, consider incremental entries, with stop-loss settings around 3730–3750 (the MA5 resistance zone), and take profits at 3600 or below, near support zones.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(0.1138) rsi12(35.1698) rsi14(42.5185)
  • MACD:dif(-9.1574) dea(6.666) macd(-31.6467)
  • MA:ma5(3750.2) ma10(3750.2) ma20(3791.11)
  • Boll:up(3888.06) mid(3791.11) down(3694.15)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:5631829.662 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.98%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.6631
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 01, 2025 00:24

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd1990

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.