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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Jul 29, 2025 01:21
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3740-3857

Mark Price

3788.81

Actual Price

3791.13

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band percent_b is 0.475, with the price located below the middle band, not reaching the lower band support, nor surpassing the upper band, indicating range-bound oscillation.
  • MACD dif > dea with negative柱 (MACD at -13.62), signaling short-term weakness with some adjustment pressure but no significant breakdown observed.
  • RSI6 is extremely low (11.55), and RSI14 and RSI24 are between 53-65, showing short-term overselling and some rebound demand, but a strong trend has not been established.
  • KDJ indicator J value is very low (7.18), with K and D also low, indicating insufficient short-term momentum but potential for a rebound from oversold conditions.
  • MA5/MA10/MA20 are intertwined in a stepwise manner, with the price not clearly breaking short-to-medium-term moving averages, maintaining a range-bound fluctuation.
  • Bullish-bearish data: Large holders’ long-short positions are extremely skewed (ratio 3.04), with an overall long-biased account sentiment. The active buy-sell ratio remains low (0.91), suggesting short-term cautious capital with insufficient bullish initiative.
  • ATR and volatility are moderate, the ADX is below 20, indicating weak trend strength; the probability of range-bound oscillation is higher.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has been consolidating at high levels after a pullback from a bullish trend over the past 4 hours, with fluctuations within the Bollinger Bands' central region, lacking the momentum for a new primary upward move. The MACD shows signs of a bearish crossover, with the histogram turning green but not yet indicating an accelerated breakdown. Short-term bullish sentiment is cooling, RSI6 has fallen to a very low value suggesting a potential rebound, but moving averages and KDJ are not trending strongly in unison, preventing confirmation of a new upward attack. Within the bullish-bearish structure, large holders' positions are extremely skewed to the long side, yet the active buy-sell ratio on exchanges remains relatively low, reflecting cautious capital chasing higher prices. Some longs are taking risk off, and market sentiment is becoming more wait-and-see. Overall trading volume has not shown extreme expansion; price volatility and ATR indicate limited fluctuation. Currently, there is a lack of momentum for a breakout, and a short-term range of 3750–3860 is expected to persist. Operational suggestion: It is not advisable to chase gains or cut losses at this stage. Focus on low buying near support and high selling near resistance. A decisive break above the 3857 resistance suggests further pursuit of the previous high, otherwise maintain caution within the range. Intraday momentum mainly stems from a weak rebound after short-term overselling, but the overall major cycle trend remains somewhat bullish. As long as there is no increased volume leading to a decline, it offers an opportunity for dip accumulation. A fall below 3740 warrants alertness for rapid trend reversal risks. Actual trading should consider real-time order book dynamics and major capital movements, strictly control position size, and use support and resistance zones to flexibly manage take-profit and stop-loss actions.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(11.5539) rsi12(53.277) rsi14(57.0241)
  • MACD:dif(33.9348) dea(40.7472) macd(-13.6248)
  • MA:ma5(3813.01) ma10(3813.01) ma20(3793.55)
  • Boll:up(3899.11) mid(3793.55) down(3688)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6471866.206 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.74%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.4516
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 29, 2025 01:21

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd1915

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.