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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Jul 23, 2025 10:34
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3620-3735

Mark Price

3659.95

Actual Price

3609.51

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger %b is 0.0937; the current price approaches the lower band, indicating short-term downward momentum release without clear breakaway.
  • MACD is negative with DIF below DEA, showing a bearish short-term trend, but there are signs of convergence in the decline.
  • RSI6 and RSI14 are both around 40, not in extreme oversold territory, suggesting potential for short-term sideways movement or weak rebound.
  • KDJ is at low levels, with the J value oversold, indicating a rebound is possible but with limited strength.
  • The long-to-short order ratio among large traders leans bullish, but active buy-sell ratios are below 1, with weak short-term trading volume and a market sentiment leaning towards observation.
  • MA5, MA10, and MA20 have not formed a clear bullish arrangement, with the short-term trend tending toward consolidation.
  • ADX stands at 29.43, indicating moderate trend strength, but DMI+ is trending towards DMI-, implying slight divergence in momentum.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has recently experienced continuous upward movement, after which the 4-hour cycle shows high-level oscillation. The lower Bollinger Band provides initial support to the current price; no obvious breakaway signals are observed globally. The MACD death cross persists, with DIF crossing below DEA, indicating short-term bearish momentum. However, combined with KDJ and RSI not being extremely oversold, the downward space is limited. Large traders have a prominent long position ratio, but overall active buying interest is below selling interest, suggesting that although there is a willingness to accumulate, the overall market remains cautious about chasing prices. The short-term moving average system is tightly consolidating, with prices fluctuating within a narrow range below the MA20 (3733). There are no strong breakout signals in either direction, so the expectation remains within a range-bound oscillation. Transaction volume is substantial, but its amplitude is narrowing, making a trending move temporarily difficult. Support levels to watch are the lower Bollinger Band and around 3620; short-term resistance aligns near the MA20 at approximately 3735. A breakout of this range would require paying attention to changes in large traders' positions and shifts in capital flows. Currently, it is recommended to maintain a wait-and-see stance in the short term, focusing on high-selling and low-buying within the range, and being cautious about chasing gains or panic selling. Breaking above 3735 would require new capital to absorb the move, while a fall below 3620 would need to observe bearish momentum alongside increased volume. Risk reminder: Although market capital structure leans bullish, active efforts have yet to trigger a rally; in the short term, focus on signals of range breakouts and volume confirmation. Stop-loss can be placed below 3600; if effectively broken below, further correction should be guarded against.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(40.0487) rsi12(32.9684) rsi14(40.0677)
  • MACD:dif(41.3971) dea(66.5984) macd(-50.4025)
  • MA:ma5(3694.93) ma10(3694.93) ma20(3733.7)
  • Boll:up(3825.08) mid(3733.7) down(3642.32)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6314275.777 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.1%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.5826
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 23, 2025 10:34

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd1770

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.