Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
3005-3066
Mark Price
3079.68
Actual Price
3085.7
Prediction Result
The current ETHUSDT technical indicators fully signal a bearish environment. The candlestick chart shows continuous oscillation downward since the prior high, with the price falling below MA5 and MA10, indicating weakened momentum; additionally, MACD remains in the negative zone with no signs of strengthening, confirming the dominant downtrend. The RSI across all cycles is low, especially RSI14 at 21. Although there is some short-term overselling, no clear bullish stabilization signals have appeared, limiting the probability of a rebound. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands may see localized rebounds; however, the funding rate is negative, indicating overall market dominance by the bears. Active buy-sell data and large account positions still favor the bulls, suggesting strong contrarian trading sentiment; however, the current candlestick patterns do not show effective rebounds, implying that although the bulls hold an advantage, no trend reversal has formed. This indicates that the short-term outlook remains predominantly downward. Support and resistance levels show S1 at 3066.17 and S2 at 3005.12, with a near-term possibility of testing these levels. A breach below 3005 would shift focus to 2978. Current volatility remains high, increasing the risk of sharp declines, so position sizing and stop-loss controls must be strict. Overall, although some indicators approach oversold territory, the bearish trend persists with strong downward momentum. It is recommended to follow short positions targeting the 3005-3066 range, with a stop-loss set above 3075. Should a clear rebound pattern or volume spike occur, appropriate repositioning or pausing can be considered. In the near term, sideways oscillation is predominantly bearish, favoring strategies such as buying dips on rallies and chasing breakouts. Counter-trend buying is not advised. Close attention should be paid to support levels and changes in buy-sell forces nearby. The Bollinger Band percent_b is only 0.322, with the current price near the lower band, lacking clear rebound momentum. MACD remains in negative territory, with DIF and DEA both negative and the MACD histogram still bearish, indicating a bearish momentum. Multiple cycles of RSI (6, 12, 14, 24) are clearly below 30, indicating significant overselling. While short-term rebounds are possible, the dominant force remains bearish. Moving averages are arranged in a downtrend, with the price below all primary averages (MA5 through MA200), showing weakening bullish strength. The J value in the KDJ indicator is above K and D but remains at mid-low levels, not yet signaling a strong bullish reversal. Major account holdings and position ratios are predominantly long, but the negative funding rate and a significant DMI- (bearish trend indicator) compared to DMI+ suggest the short-term direction remains downward. ATR and volatility measures remain high, indicating potential for sharp swings, yet the ADX at 40 points to a strong trending downward phase.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Dec 12, 2025 21:01
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-30m-forecast-2025-upd4819
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.