Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
2996-3066
Mark Price
3081.57
Actual Price
3080.0
Prediction Result
ETHUSDT is currently in a clear downward trend, with the price having broken below all major moving average support levels, indicating a comprehensive technical weakness. From the candlestick chart, it can be seen that after hitting a previous high of over 3400, the price experienced a significant pullback and is now testing an important support zone. Analysis of key technical indicators shows a dominant bearish sentiment: MACD both lines are below zero and exhibit a bearish alignment; RSI mid-to-long-term indicators are in an extreme oversold condition, but the short-term RSI remains high, indicating insufficient rebound strength. The ADX stands at 40.20, and DMI indicators show that bearish momentum far exceeds bullish momentum. Bollinger Band analysis indicates the price has approached the lower band at 2984.87, with the current price at 3081.56, leaving room for further decline. The narrowing band width suggests decreasing volatility, but the trend remains downward. The expected price target range is between support levels S2 (2996.92) and S1 (3066.17). Exchange data shows a slightly bullish buy-sell ratio of 1.14, but large account positions indicate a large capital bias toward the long side, possibly reflecting contrarian bottom-fishing activity. However, technical signals favor a bearish outlook, and the price is likely to continue seeking effective support. Volume analysis indicates recent increased selling pressure with higher trading volumes, further confirming a bearish dominance amidst a 24-hour amplitude of -4.12%, and a negative funding rate reflecting bearish sentiment in the futures market. Operational suggestion: Given the current comprehensive technical weakness, it is advisable to wait for the price to fall into the 2996-3066 support range before considering a rebound. If the price breaks below 2996 support, further decline towards approximately 2978 is possible. Risk reminder: Although the mid-to-long-term RSI indicates an oversold condition that may lead to a technical rebound, a clear downtrend suggests that any rebound should be viewed as a shorting opportunity. Wait for clear reversal signals before considering long positions. Stop-loss recommendations: For long positions in the support zone, set stops below 2970; for short positions, consider entering on a rebound to the 3100-3120 area with stops near 3150. Target ranges are 2996-2978.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Dec 12, 2025 20:52
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-30m-forecast-2025-upd4817
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.