Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
2980-3050
Mark Price
3064.38
Actual Price
3088.2
Prediction Result
Currently, ETHUSDT is in a clear downtrend, with the price at 3064.38 having broken below all short-term moving averages; MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50 exhibit a bearish alignment. Technical indicators fully indicate an oversold condition, but the oversold rebound signal has not yet been confirmed. The RSI indicator is in an extremely oversold zone, and historical experience shows that such levels of overselling often accompany inertia-driven declines. The MACD indicator shows a severe death cross, with the difference between DIF and DEA reaching -17.96, indicating that downward momentum remains strong. Combined with the candlestick chart, it is evident that the price is accelerating in a downward channel. Bollinger Band analysis shows that the price has broken below the middle band and is approaching the lower band, with a %B value of only 0.117937, indicating that the price is near the lower Bollinger Band but has not yet fully touched the lower support line. From support and resistance analysis, the key support levels are S1 at 3044.5 and S2 at 2978.0. The current price is close to S1 support; a break below this level would directly test the 2978-3000 area. Exchange data shows that although the large traders' long-short positions ratio is 2.9839, indicating a bias towards longs, the active buy-sell ratio of 0.9293 and negative funding rate suggest that short-term bearish sentiment dominates. Volume analysis indicates that the recent decline has been accompanied by increased trading volume, evidencing real selling pressure. The ATR value of 28.442 suggests higher volatility, suitable for trend-following strategies. In the next 30 minutes, ETH is expected to continue searching for support, with a target range between 2980 and 3050. If support at 2978 is broken, it could further test the 2900 region. Strict stop-loss measures are recommended, and attention should be paid to whether the RSI forms a bottom divergence as a reversal signal.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Dec 12, 2025 18:01
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-30m-forecast-2025-upd4808
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.