Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
3420-3460
Mark Price
3486.36
Actual Price
3479.84
Prediction Result
From a technical perspective, ETHUSDT's current price of 3486.36 has broken above the upper Bollinger Band at 3473.28, forming a clear overbought condition. The Bollinger Band percentage reaches 1.204158, indicating the price deviates significantly from the mean, suggesting a strong need for a reversion. Multiple RSI indicators show overbought conditions, with RSI6 at 68.31 and RSI12 at 68.99, both exceeding the overbought alert line near 70. This simultaneous overbought signal across multiple timeframes often indicates an imminent technical correction in the short term. The KDJ indicator shows extreme overbought levels, especially with the J line reaching 94.17, far exceeding the overbought threshold at 80. When the J line is this extreme, it typically signals an impending short-term adjustment. Although the MACD histogram value is positive at 14.9274, indicating upward momentum, the DIF line remains negative at -1.051, suggesting that short-term moving averages have not yet fully crossed above the long-term averages, thus the upward foundation is not yet solid. Looking at the moving average system, the price has broken above most moving averages but is approaching a key resistance at MA200 at 3496. Historically, this region tends to form strong resistance, requiring increased trading volume to break through effectively. The funding rate has turned negative to -0.00004863, indicating that longs are beginning to pay ongoing funding fees to shorts, which implies a shift in market sentiment and signs of long positions being withdrawn. Regarding trading volume, with a 24-hour volume of 3,936,082.491, the volume is not particularly low, but in relation to the significant price increase, the volume accompanying the move remains insufficient, lacking the momentum for sustained upward attack. A comprehensive support and resistance analysis shows that the support at S1 is located at 3356.74, but closer supports are around MA20 at 3440.94 and the middle Bollinger Band. The price is expected to retrace to the 3420-3460 range for support. Trading strategy suggestion: Consider short-term light positions in the 3470-3480 range with targets between 3420-3460 and stop-loss above 3500. If the price falls below 3420, further testing of the support at 3356 is likely.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Nov 12, 2025 09:24
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-30m-forecast-2025-upd4173
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.