Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
3480-3520
Mark Price
3541.25
Actual Price
3552.5
Prediction Result
Comprehensive technical indicator analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is currently in a clear downward trend. The price has broken below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands at 3598.82, and is now at 3541.25, close to the lower band at 3557.22. From the moving averages perspective, the price has fallen below MA5 (3580.68), MA10 (3590.9), and MA20 (3598.82), forming a bearish alignment, with only MA50 (3585.03) providing weak support. The RSI indicator is fully in the oversold zone, with RSI6 dropping to 24.8491. Although there is a potential for a technical rebound, the overall momentum remains weak, making an effective reversal unlikely in the short term. The MACD indicator displays typical bearish characteristics, with the DIF line at a deep negative value and continuing downward, and an expanding gap with the DEA line. The histogram shows a substantial negative value of -18.3328, confirming robust downward momentum. Among the KDJ indicators, the J line has fallen to an extremely low level at 11.1594. While there is a technical possibility of a rebound due to oversold conditions, the K and D lines remain in a downward channel, supporting the continuation of the decline. Analyzing support and resistance levels, the key support at S1 is 3353.31. However, based on current technical analysis, the price may first find support in the 3480-3520 range. In terms of market sentiment, the active buy-sell ratio of 0.7564 indicates significant selling pressure. Although large traders' long-short positions ratio of 3.0517 suggests a bias towards longs, this may represent trapped funds, and actual buying interest appears weak. Trading suggestion: Consider a light short position near 3560, with a target in the 3480-3520 range, and set a stop-loss above 3580. If the price breaks below 3480, it may continue to decline toward 3450 or even lower. Risk warning: The RSI has entered the oversold area, posing a risk of technical rebound. It is recommended to strictly control position sizes, set reasonable stop-loss levels, and avoid excessive shorting in oversold conditions.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Nov 10, 2025 15:15
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-30m-forecast-2025-upd4086
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.