Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
3390-3410
Mark Price
3428.35
Actual Price
3408.0
Prediction Result
Comprehensive analysis of the current technical indicators for ETHUSDT shows that the price has reached a clearly overbought region. The Bollinger Band percentage at 0.946 indicates the price is nearly touching the upper band, which is a strong technical resistance signal. The RSI indicator is fully overbought, particularly RSI12 at 78.30, which has entered the extreme overbought zone. Historical experience suggests that a technical correction often occurs at this point. The KDJ indicator also exhibits an extremely overbought condition. Although the MACD remains positive, the difference between DIF (6.45) and DEA (1.67) is large, potentially forming a bearish divergence and indicating that upward momentum is beginning to weaken. From a price perspective, the current level at 3428.35 has broken through short-term moving averages, but is located near the resistance of the Bollinger upper band. Support levels are identifiable at the MA20 (3395.41) and the middle Bollinger Band, providing support. Regarding market sentiment, despite the large institutional long-short holdings ratio of 2.76 indicating a bullish bias, the positive funding rate suggests that long positions are costly, which may lead to profit-taking and a potential correction. Volume data indicates significant trading activity over the past 24 hours, but the amplitude index at -0.718 signifies that although funds are involved, upward price movement lacks strength. Technical analysis conclusion: Given multiple overbought signals, a technical correction is expected. The target range is set between 3390 and 3410, corresponding to the middle Bollinger Band and the support of MA20. Operational suggestion: It is not advisable to chase longs at the current position; instead, wait for a correction to the 3390-3400 zone to seek new long opportunities. Place stop-loss around 3380, near the Bollinger lower band support. If the correction exceeds expectations and falls below 3380, a deeper correction is possible.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Nov 09, 2025 09:22
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-30m-forecast-2025-upd4016
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.