Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
4200-4250
Mark Price
4296.61
Actual Price
4278.02
Prediction Result
The current price of ETHUSDT is between the lower middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the overall Bollinger Band is trending downward, indicating short-term weakness dominates. The moving average system displays a bearish alignment, particularly with MA20, MA50, and MA200 above the current price, suggesting continued intra-day resistance. Although KDJ indicates an oversold rebound signal (J greater than K and D), the lack of sufficient volume cues limits the rebound height, and it may be constrained. The large traders' long-short ratio data is evidently skewed towards long positions, but active buying intent has not significantly increased. The transaction volume structure and price movement have not synchronized with volume expansion, indicating that longs are mostly passive holdings with limited confidence, thus limiting rebound potential. The active buy-sell ratio is below 1, indicating sell orders dominate execution, reflecting a bearish market sentiment. Multiple timeframe RSI indicators show divergence; short-term RSI suggests an oversold rebound, but overall RSI14 and RSI24 indicate a weak bearish structure, making a trend reversal difficult. ATR and ADX levels are relatively high, signifying increased short-term volatility and trend strength favoring the downside, with inertial pressure present. Support levels S1 and S2 are in the range of 4160-4164, providing some room for short-term correction. Therefore, the expected retracement zone is around 4200-4250. If strong support is encountered, a stabilization within oscillation may occur. Overall, combining market conditions with technical indicators, it is recommended to adopt a cautious approach, observing short-term and attempting low-buy strategies at support zones. High leverage or chasing the trend entails greater risk. A breakdown below 4160 could lead to further declines.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 18, 2025 10:03
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-30m-forecast-2025-upd2800
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.