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Binance ETHUSDT 30m Trend Prediction

Jul 29, 2025 02:19
30m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3680-3720

Mark Price

3729.65

Actual Price

3753.94

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Percent B of the Bollinger Bands is at -0.267094, with the price close to the lower band, indicating a short-term inclination to move downward.
  • MACD remains negative, with DIF and DEA declining and the green histogram expanding, showing that bearish momentum has significantly increased.
  • All RSI indicators are below 50, with RSI6 at 29.48 approaching the oversold zone but lacking rebound signals, indicating overall weakness.
  • The J line in KDJ is very low, and the K line is below D, suggesting a short-term weak market condition.
  • MA5, MA10, and MA20 are all below MA50, with short-term moving averages crossing and the intraday downward trend persisting.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is only 0.7101, indicating relatively low active buying interest.
  • Volatility measured by amplitude is -3.389, highlighting upward pressure in market fluctuations.
  • Although large traders' long-short positions are somewhat skewed toward longs, short-term downward momentum prevails; funds and market sentiment have not effectively supported the price.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with a narrow Bollinger Band opening and a negative Percent B, indicating short-term downside potential. The first support point S1 is around 3680. MACD remains below the zero line, with DIF and DEA continuing to decline, with no apparent bullish divergence or rebound signs, suggesting that bearish momentum dominates. All RSI periods are below 50, with some indicators (such as RSI6) approaching the oversold zone, but current sentiment remains bearish, and rebound momentum has not been fully developed. The three KDJ lines are diverging, and the J value has reached a low point, indicating that the inertia of decline shows no signs of stabilization; in the short term, the price is in a weak, oscillating downward structure. The moving average system exhibits a typical bear alignment, with short-term moving averages repeatedly facing resistance in the 3700-3780 range. The MA50 and MA200 are showing cyclic death crosses, suppressing upward movements. Although the market large traders' long-short ratio is slightly skewed towards the longs, the active buy-sell ratio is too low, and the number of accounts holding long positions is offset by downward momentum; active funds within the market are cautious, mainly engaged in defensive trading. The ATR volatility indicator has slightly increased, indicating that the decline involves some volume and panic selling, accelerating the short-term downward adjustment pace. It is expected that over the next 30 minutes, ETH will continue weak consolidation and test the support zone around 3680-3720. If the price breaks below 3680, it may accelerate downward. If this zone holds and a trough is formed, subsequent trading should wait for volume to recover or for technical divergence signals before considering a short-term rebound. Operationally, it is not advisable to initiate a bottom fish for the time being. Focus on the support at the 3680 lower boundary. If there is a significant breakdown, it is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see approach, waiting for stabilization signals before re-entering the market.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(29.4821) rsi12(39.8925) rsi14(33.6857)
  • MACD:dif(-17.8258) dea(-16.2331) macd(-3.1854)
  • MA:ma5(3773.47) ma10(3773.47) ma20(3784.02)
  • Boll:up(3819.14) mid(3784.02) down(3748.89)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6534422.839 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.48%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.4869
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 29, 2025 02:19

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-30m-forecast-2025-upd1920

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.