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Binance ETHUSDT 30m Trend Prediction

Jul 21, 2025 19:38
30m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 78%

Target Price

3650-3725

Mark Price

3727.91

Actual Price

3734.5

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current Bollinger %b is 0.021143, with the price approaching the lower band and crossing below the midline, indicating short-term downward pressure and weakness.
  • The MACD (dif) is at -9.3486, with MACD (macd) at -21.5233, both below zero, showing a clear dead cross and strong bearish momentum.
  • RSI6: 25.1171, RSI12: 23.7064, RSI14: 31.8082, all are in the oversold zone, indicating persistent downward pressure with no signs of stabilization.
  • The KDJ indicator shows K: 14.4563, D: 24.0103, J: -4.6518; J line is extremely low, reflecting bearish momentum and weak short-term upward potential.
  • Despite the large traders' holdings and the account long-short ratio leaning bullish, main volume indicators and active buy-sell ratios are only slightly elevated, and market volatility is negative (-0.988), indicating exhaustion of upward momentum and inability to reverse the downward trend.
  • Support level S1 (3,536.08) and recent moving averages (MA20, MA50) are in close proximity, making them likely short-term targets or lower support zones.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Following a sustained upward trend over several periods, ETHUSDT experienced a notable pullback; the current candlestick chart shows a near-top rallying reversal after oscillating at the peak. The Bollinger Bands indicator indicates the current price has approached the lower band, with no significant rebound, suggesting further downside potential. The MACD has experienced a clear death cross with increasing bearish momentum, and no signs of recovery are observed. The short-term RSI across all periods has entered the severely oversold region; a weak rebound may occur in the short term, but the overall trend remains difficult to reverse. The J line of the KDJ indicator is at a severely low level, indicating that momentum has been exhausted; however, no bullish divergence has formed, so the probability of further bottom-finding in the short term remains high. Although the long and short capital flows show a bullish advantage, trading volume and active buy-sell ratios do not indicate a significant increase in buying pressure; the market remains dominated by a bearish outlook under a stockpile competition scenario. The first support zone is located between 3,650 and 3,725 (below the Bollinger lower band and the 20-period moving average); should the price break below this level in the short term, it will seek further support at S1 (3,536.08). Trading suggestion: In the short term, avoid bottom fishing; wait for the price to reach the support zone and confirm a signs of stabilization before entering positions. Currently, do not recommend going long; it is advisable to control risk, maintain a neutral or short position, with a stop-loss set above 3,760. Overall assessment: The 30-minute cycle continues to decline, with a higher probability of further decline than stabilization or recovery. If the price can hold above 3,720, observe for potential rebounds further.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(25.1171) rsi12(23.7064) rsi14(31.8082)
  • MACD:dif(-9.3486) dea(1.4131) macd(-21.5233)
  • MA:ma5(3750.44) ma10(3750.44) ma20(3791.07)
  • Boll:up(3857.74) mid(3791.07) down(3724.4)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7307434.864 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.55%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3419
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 21, 2025 19:38

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-30m-forecast-2025-upd1666

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.