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Binance ETHUSDT 30m Trend Prediction

Jul 21, 2025 18:47
30m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3700-3745

Mark Price

3750.48

Actual Price

3759.54

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Bands percent_b is 0.055946, with the price near the lower band, indicating short-term pressure is somewhat weak.
  • RSI6 is 19.95, and RSI12/14/24 are all below 50, indicating oversold conditions and insufficient momentum.
  • MACD values are dif -1.27, dea 6.83, and the MACD histogram at -16.22, showing weakening momentum and a bearish dominance.
  • The three KDJ lines are low, with the J value at an extremely low 10.09, suggesting potential ongoing short-term declines.
  • The DMI shows that DMI- exceeds DMI+, and with an ADX of 19.05, the trend is weak but the downward bias is more prominent.
  • Active buy-sell ratio and the proportion of long positions are mildly bullish, but given short-term data and strong institutional selling, there is a risk of rapid pullback.
  • Support level S1 is relatively far at 3531; short-term key observation levels are 3700-3745.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Based on current technical indicators, ETHUSDT in the short term presents a relatively clear bearish pattern. The Bollinger Bands show that the price has approached the lower band without breaking through it, with a narrowing bandwidth and a very low percent_b value, indicating significant short-term resistance and lack of bullish momentum. A series of RSI data points (especially RSI6 at only 19.95) are in the oversold zone, suggesting heavy selling pressure. If the price cannot quickly stabilize, further downward movement is possible. Regarding MACD, the dif and dea are clearly bearish, and the negative MACD histogram is at a recent low, indicating a clear downward trend. The KDJ indicator shows that the J value of the three lines is below K and D, and far below 50, implying very weak momentum. The DMI indicator shows that the plus DI is much less than the minus DI. Although the trend is not strong, the probability of decline exceeds that of rebound. While the active buy-sell ratio is roughly balanced and large traders' long positions still dominate, the recent rapid short-term rise followed by a high-level pullback, along with a decline in the proportion of large trader accounts, suggests potential technical short-term correction pressure. There has been no significant increase in volume or volatility that would indicate a major trend reversal. Market high-level capital trading has become cautious, and if market sentiment cannot turn around, there is a short-term risk of further decline towards support levels at 3700-3745. It is recommended that aggressive short positions can be lightly initiated near the current price, with a stop-loss set above 3800, and target range between 3700 and 3745. If the price falls below 3745, further decline towards approximately 3530 may occur. However, as a short-term 30-minute cycle, attention should first be paid to the upper range. If there is a clear influx of funds and RSI divergence in the short term, consider reversing to long positions; otherwise, continue with the dominant downward trend. Pay attention to position management and stop-loss placement.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(19.9517) rsi12(35.214) rsi14(36.1217)
  • MACD:dif(-1.2738) dea(6.8388) macd(-16.2252)
  • MA:ma5(3767.86) ma10(3767.86) ma20(3795.9)
  • Boll:up(3848.54) mid(3795.9) down(3743.25)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7088093.693 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.5%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3175
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 21, 2025 18:47

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-30m-forecast-2025-upd1653

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.