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Binance ETHUSDT 30m Trend Prediction

Jul 21, 2025 18:39
30m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 78%

Target Price

3730-3765

Mark Price

3767.55

Actual Price

3754.57

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band percent_b is 0.206765, with the price operating below the lower band, and the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, lacking upward momentum.
  • RSI6 is 24.48, and RSI14 is only 39.50, both indicating oversold or weak conditions; short-term rebounds are insufficient.
  • The MACD is negative, with the MACD histogram at -13.8767 and dif well below dea, showing persistent bearish pressure.
  • All three lines of KDJ are low, and the J value is extremely low, with no clear signs of reversal.
  • The negative DMI value (26.39) exceeds the positive value (16.92), and ADX is weak, indicating bearish dominance with low momentum, and the market is weak and oscillating downward.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is 0.9791, indicating insufficient buying enthusiasm; although the large account long-short positions are relatively strong (2.36), the overall market trading trend remains bearish.
  • The moving average system MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50 are densely consolidated and all above the current price, forming short-term resistance.
  • Trading volume and turnover are substantial but have not resulted in a volume breakthrough.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The current ETHUSDT price is below the moving average system (MA5/10/20/50), forming a phase-level resistance, with short-term rebound lacking strength. It is operating near the lower Bollinger Band, and the percent_b is only 0.2, confirming that the short-term correction has not yet concluded; the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands is unfavorable for a rapid rebound. The MACD green bars are continuously expanding, and the dif has significantly fallen below the dea, indicating that the current bearish inertia still dominates, and a strong reversal is unlikely in the near term. The RSI across all periods is below the midline, and after being oversold in the short term, there is still no sign of aggressive buying interest; the weak market structure is evident. All three lines of KDJ are at low levels and have not formed a golden cross; the J value is around 21, and there is no short-term rebound momentum yet. The DMI+ is less than DMI-, and the ADX is only 18, indicating a weak trend with a slight bearish bias; the market is prone to inertial pullbacks. Although major account holdings lean towards the long side, and the long-short account structure is temporarily biased towards the long side, active buying is weak; combined with the overall technical structure, the market tends to attempt a short-term probe of support zones before observing potential rebounds. It is recommended to maintain a wait-and-see approach or try light-position short-term high-position selling, with a stop-loss set below the S1 support at 3531.5. Do not chase shorts in the short term; if price reaches the 3730-3765 zone and clear signs of stabilization appear, consider a swing-long position for potential rebounds.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(24.4817) rsi12(38.6915) rsi14(39.5034)
  • MACD:dif(0.194) dea(7.1323) macd(-13.8767)
  • MA:ma5(3771.54) ma10(3771.54) ma20(3796.82)
  • Boll:up(3846.73) mid(3796.82) down(3746.9)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7047418.545 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.46%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3175
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 21, 2025 18:39

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-30m-forecast-2025-upd1651

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.