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Binance ETHUSDT 30m Trend Prediction

Jul 21, 2025 16:51
30m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3720-3760

Mark Price

3760.42

Actual Price

3782.21

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is 0.073616, with the price close to the lower band, indicating weak market strength.
  • MACD is at -12.0985, with DIF less than DEA, both continuing to expand downward, signifying that short-term momentum is weak.
  • RSI6 is at 21.29, RSI12 is only 36.31, both far below 50, showing short-term overselling and a weak state that has not yet reversed.
  • In the KDJ indicator, the J value is only 4.87, entering a strong oversold region, but K and D are also declining, indicating the adjustment is incomplete.
  • Large-holder long-short position ratio is 2.4793, with the number of long and short accounts at 1.2257, showing some large entities remain bullish, but the active buy-sell ratio is low at 0.817, indicating overall market optimism is weak.
  • Moving Averages MA5, MA10, and MA20 have all crossed downward and are below the current price, with prices breaking short-term moving averages, indicating a bearish technical outlook.
  • DMI indicators show DMI- at 26.98 surpasses DMI+ at 17.37, and the ADX trend strength is low at 16.76, indicating a dominant bearish force with moderate momentum.
  • Short-term amplitude is negative at -1.482, and volume is high, reflecting market panic emotion; however, no signs of stabilization are visible yet.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT over the past 30-minute period has broken below the moving average system; Bollinger Bands continue to weaken, with price approaching the lower band; funding rate remains low, indicating limited bullish interest in the market. The current MACD momentum histogram is distinctly negative, with DIF and DEA both trending downward. RSI and KDJ both show signs of short-term overselling but have not yet formed technical rebound signals. The active buy-sell ratio is 0.817, indicating that selling activity exceeds buying, reflecting subdued bullish participation. Although the large-holder long-short positions remain relatively bullish, potentially providing some support below, the mainstream capital attitude is cautious and exiting. Volatility indicators and ATR averages show increased short-term amplitude, but overall weakness persists. DMI- is significantly higher than DMI+, signifying dominant bearish forces. The support level S1 is at 3529.43, and the resistance R1 is at 3826. Current price is above support; failure to stabilize may test previous lows. Based on comprehensive technical analysis, trading volume, and order book signals, ETHUSDT is likely to continue its short-term oscillation downwards over the next 30 minutes, with a potential test of support around 3720. If this support is broken, further decline into lower ranges is expected. Operational suggestion: In the short term, consider light positioning for short-selling in line with the trend, with take-profit near 3720. If the price rebounds above 3800, stop-loss should be implemented. If prices fall to S1 support, monitor for signs of stabilization or rebound before considering long entries. The overall strategy is mainly defensive, avoiding high-level chasing longs. Wait for short-term stabilization or clear reversal signals before initiating bullish positions. Currently, the market is in a high-risk bearish zone; position sizes should be controlled with strict stop-loss measures.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(21.2873) rsi12(36.308) rsi14(47.5591)
  • MACD:dif(8.0947) dea(14.144) macd(-12.0985)
  • MA:ma5(3803.09) ma10(3803.09) ma20(3800.11)
  • Boll:up(3846.08) mid(3800.11) down(3754.14)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7421201.498 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.52%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.2257
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 21, 2025 16:51

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-30m-forecast-2025-upd1630

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.