LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 2h Trend Prediction

Nov 12, 2025 10:01
2h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3400-3450

Mark Price

3482.1

Actual Price

3544.32

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 3482 is below the Bollinger Band middle band at 3503, and the Bollinger Band %B at 0.409696 indicates that the price leans towards the lower band.
  • MACD indicators show DIF at -22.58 and DEA at -14.54, both negative, with the MACD histogram at -16.08 indicating downward momentum.
  • RSI6 at 76.47 signals severe short-term overbought conditions, while RSI12, RSI14, and RSI24 are all near 40, forming a clear divergence.
  • KDJ indicator shows K at 39.07 below J at 69.02, indicating weakening short-term momentum.
  • The price has broken below the MA5 and MA10 at 3447.86 and is below MA20 at 3503.66, with short-term moving averages aligned bearish.
  • Negative funding rate of -0.00004157 indicates a bearish sentiment, and the 24-hour amplitude of -1.966% confirms a downward trend.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Comprehensive technical analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is currently in an obvious downtrend. The current price of 3482.10 has broken below the key middle band of the Bollinger Bands at 3503.66, and the Bollinger Band %B is only 0.41, indicating that the price is approaching the lower band at 3383.72. The MACD indicator line shows a full bearish signal, with both DIF and DEA negative, and the MACD histogram remains in the negative zone, demonstrating that downward momentum remains strong. Notably, RSI6 at 76.47 exhibits a significant divergence from other period RSI indicators, foreshadowing substantial short-term overbought correction pressure. From the moving average system perspective, the price has effectively broken below the short-term MA5/MA10 at 3447.86 and is well below MA20 at 3503.66. Although it remains above MA50 at 3495.31, the overall formation shows a short-term bearish alignment. The KDJ indicator shows K at 39.07, clearly below J at 69.02; such divergence typically signals continued price decline. Coupled with an ADX value of 20.32 indicating moderate trend strength, but DMI+ at 17.24 being less than DMI- at 19.18, confirming the dominance of the bearish trend. Market sentiment analysis reveals a negative funding rate of -0.00004157, indicating low costs for short positions and a markedly bearish market mood. Although the large traders' long-short ratio of 2.554 suggests a bias towards longs, the active buy-sell ratio of 0.7608, below 1, indicates that selling pressure remains heavy. Support level analysis shows S1 at 3400, which is a key support zone in the near term. Given the overall bearish technical outlook, the price is expected to test the 3400-3450 range. If support at 3400 fails, a further decline towards S2 near 3055 could occur. Trading advice: The current technical indicators are clearly bearish. It is recommended to reduce holdings on rallies or adopt moderate short positions. Set stop-loss above 3520 (above the Bollinger Band middle band), with take-profit targets in the 3400-3430 range. Pay close attention to the validity of the 3400 support; a breakdown could trigger a larger correction. Risk warning: If the price can regain and stabilize above 3500 with increased volume, the downward trend's validity should be reassessed. However, given the comprehensive bearish signals from current technical indicators, the probability of a rebound is low. It is advisable to remain observant and maintain a cautious stance towards short positions.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(76.4744) rsi12(37.9641) rsi14(39.6644)
  • MACD:dif(-22.5826) dea(-14.5412) macd(-16.0827)
  • MA:ma5(3447.86) ma10(3447.86) ma20(3503.66)
  • Boll:up(3623.6) mid(3503.66) down(3383.72)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:3931020.266 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.8%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.6193
AI Model Information

Used Model

claude-sonnet-4-20250514

Prediction Date

Nov 12, 2025 10:01

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-2h-forecast-2025-upd4176

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.