Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
3700-3790
Mark Price
3804.98
Actual Price
3792.24
Prediction Result
Considering all core technical indicators, ETHUSDT is currently in a明显下降通道, with the lower Bollinger Band近在咫尺 and band width expanding, indicating significant bearish momentum. The RSI and KDJ are极端超卖, but historical backtesting shows that during strong downtrends, oversold conditions can persist for some time, making it unwise to rashly attempt a rebound. It is necessary to wait until bearish momentum wanes and indicators become dull before considering 超短线反弹机会. The moving average system shows a空头排列, with current price being suppressed by MA5/10/20/50, indicating bulls lack力量 to reverse the trend. Increased volume with active buying and selling比仍持续<1 suggests资金流向显示恐慌性抛盘. 多空账户和大户持仓比仍偏多 at高位, showing some主力大户对下方支撑有信心, but the trend may reflect short-term被套或补仓,尚未形成主控筹码优势. Support point S1 (3791.79) is very close; main forces可能会尝试守住该位置, but if cannot stability, further下探至S2 (3706.31)甚至S3 (3671.00)可能达成. Various volatility indicators show increased变化, with ATR走高暗示未来2小时内仍可能出现快速下行冲击。DMI显示趋势空头占据主导地位, ADX高于临界值,趋势明确,风险偏空. 策略建议为谨慎观望,不宜盲目抄底或追涨。若价格跌破3790,则等待价位稳定在3700-3730区间后,结合指标钝化再考虑超短线反弹,否则仍以轻仓或空头为主。止损建议设于3839上方(布林下轨),初步止盈目标参考3706及下试3671。 The布林带percent_b为-0.157783, price已跌破中轨并接近下轨,显示下跌压力,且带宽微扩张,跌势持续可能性增强。 MACD连续为负且扩大, dif与dea持续下行、macd显著负值,动能偏空,短期趋势仍向下。 RSI6为16.66,RSI14仅32.8,皆处于明显超卖区,虽超跌但尚未出现大幅反弹迹象,说明空头主导依然强烈。 所有短期均线(MA5至MA50)均在当前价格之上,形成均线空头排列,支撑位在下方的MA200,显示下跌趋势较为明确。 KDJ指标J值极低,仅6.49,K与D亦处于低位,短线上惯性下探为主,动能偏空但可能触发短暂反弹。 DMI指标中dmi_minus高于dmi_plus且ADX高达37.65(趋势强),市场处于明显空头趋势。 主动买卖比小于1,买盘力量略弱,成交量放大,资金费率微弱正值未能逆转空头局面。 多空账户比已升至2.98,大户多空持仓比高达2.68,显示主力资金仍偏多,但价格未表现出强烈多方反转,反映当前多头被套风险或在补仓,短线难以推动反转。 当前价格接近S1支撑(3791.79),但距离S2(3706.31)及S3(3671.0)较近,若失守将进一步下探。
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Oct 30, 2025 12:53
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-2h-forecast-2025-upd3813
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.