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Binance ETHUSDT 2h Trend Prediction

Aug 28, 2025 21:40
2h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4370-4480

Mark Price

4479.41

Actual Price

4502.08

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Bands percent_b is 0.143, and the price is near the lower band, indicating increasing downward momentum.
  • Short-term MA(5/10/20/50) lines are in a bearish sequence, with MA5 below MA200, exerting significant downward pressure.
  • RSI across various periods are generally low (RSI6 at 24.39, RSI14 at 32.53), implying oversold conditions without clear rebound signals, indicating persistent weakness.
  • The MACD indicator lines are below the zero axis, and MACD value is -23.85, demonstrating continuous strengthening of bearish momentum.
  • KDJ indicator lines K, D, J are all in low positions, with the J line extremely oversold, providing no short-term reversal signals.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is 0.8171, with stronger selling activity, and insufficient bullish intent.
  • Large account long/short holdings ratio is 3.47, but the number of large accounts with long or short positions gives a long/short ratio of 1.96, showing cautious short-term holding by major players. Overall market funds favor the bears.
  • Decreased volatility and reduced amplitude indicate short-term decline accompanied by weak rebound, with no significant sign of stabilization.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Currently, ETHUSDT price is closely hugging the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, and the percent_b is below 0.2, indicating a technically oversold condition with further downside risk. The MA sequences are in a bearish alignment, with MA5 clearly below MA200, suggesting the dominant trend continues downward. All periodic RSI levels are below the midline; although there is a slight oversold risk in the short term, no significant rebound signals are observed from candlestick patterns and volume, indicating weak market sentiment, insufficient support, and capital flow tending towards defense. MACD remains strongly in a bearish stance with no signs of reversal. On the exchange level, active buy/sell ratio is below 1, implying short-term selling pressure dominates the market. Despite a high proportion of large accounts being long, the number of accounts shows market segmentation, with main force maintaining some protection against decline but lacking rebound strength. Volatility indicators show narrowed short-term amplitude, with ATR at mid-low levels, suggesting the market is in a defensive stance and likely to oscillate downward. Combining with candlestick chart trends, ETH has surged significantly in recent times, but now enters a high-level consolidation and retracement phase. Volume has not expanded noticeably, and the market lacks new bullish participation. Without any sudden positive news, it is expected that within 2 hours, the price will maintain a weak consolidation and downward trend, with an expected support zone between 4370 and 4480. Overall, the trading strategy should remain cautious and observant in the short term. It is not recommended to attempt bottom-fishing at this point. If the price falls to 4370–4400 within 2 hours, considering low-buying points, a stop-loss strategy should be employed. A break below 4370 would present further downside risk, with strong support at S1 (4160).

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(24.3878) rsi12(42.8454) rsi14(32.532)
  • MACD:dif(-20.1337) dea(-8.2076) macd(-23.8522)
  • MA:ma5(4495.56) ma10(4495.56) ma20(4555.72)
  • Boll:up(4663.59) mid(4555.72) down(4447.85)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4701545.725 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.77%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.7685
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 28, 2025 21:40

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-2h-forecast-2025-upd3015

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.