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Binance ETHUSDT 2h Trend Prediction

Aug 18, 2025 10:07
2h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

4160-4290

Mark Price

4296.61

Actual Price

4287.31

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is only 0.136117, indicating the price is far below the middle band and near the lower band, with an amplitude of -5.282, showing the downward driving force remains strong.
  • MACD (dif: -47.9034, macd: -41.5587) is significantly negative and shows no obvious convergence, signifying strong bearish momentum.
  • RSI (6, 12, 14, 24) are all severely oversold, with the shortest cycle at only 16.1658. This suggests that while a short-term rebound is expected, the overall downward pressure is stronger.
  • KDJ remains low with K at 20.5862 and J at 11.9857, showing no signs of reversal, indicating a clear weak pattern.
  • Despite the large overall long-short position ratio (3.47), the short-term sharp price drop and high active buy-sell ratio and account ratio imply the main force may have long positions trapped at high levels, posing a risk of short squeeze before a further decline.
  • There is no strong support below the S1 (4160) zone. If the 4246 level is broken, it may test S1, and the market sentiment remains unstable over the next two hours.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has been under sustained pressure over the past two hours. From the candlestick and Bollinger Bands trends, the price is currently close to the lower band, with the downside approaching S1 support at 4160. Both MACD and RSI are in the extremely weak zone, indicating dominant selling pressure. Although largeholders' long-short positions and other bullish data remain high, short-term capital is highly likely to force a decline in long positions. Meanwhile, active buy-sell ratio (1.08), account ratio (1.85), and largeholder account ratio (2.15) have not resulted in proactive upward movement, suggesting market confidence has yet to recover. The overall trend of the last 400 candlesticks shows a high point retreat. Despite high intraday volume, the actual activity mainly represents high-level turnover. Capital battles are fierce, but bullish momentum remains weak. ATR and volatility have expanded (67.8771), primarily reflecting increased high-risk decline. ADX (27.9) indicates trend strengthening, but the short cycle may further weaken. In case panic-driven sell-offs occur, if the price breaks below 4246, it is highly probable to rapidly fall into the 4160-4200 range. Although there is some buying support in this zone, upward rebounds are likely to be suppressed by moving averages (below MA5/10). Expect the next two hours to continue seeking a bottom under weakness. Operational suggestion: Short-term wait-and-see. Aggressive traders may cautiously attempt shorting on rallies, targeting the 4160-4290 range, with strict stop-loss if breached. If volume significantly increases and the price stabilizes above S1, consider shifting to a neutral or short-term long position. Risk reminder: Once rebound momentum activates and there is a quick pullback towards the Bollinger middle band and MA20 (4429), it's advisable to take profits on short positions and avoid V-shaped bullish rebounds.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(16.1658) rsi12(19.7194) rsi14(33.2378)
  • MACD:dif(-47.9034) dea(-27.1241) macd(-41.5587)
  • MA:ma5(4294.61) ma10(4294.61) ma20(4429.44)
  • Boll:up(4611.97) mid(4429.44) down(4246.92)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7043461.404 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.99%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.8514
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 18, 2025 10:07

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-2h-forecast-2025-upd2801

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.