Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
4160-4290
Mark Price
4296.61
Actual Price
4287.31
Prediction Result
ETHUSDT has been under sustained pressure over the past two hours. From the candlestick and Bollinger Bands trends, the price is currently close to the lower band, with the downside approaching S1 support at 4160. Both MACD and RSI are in the extremely weak zone, indicating dominant selling pressure. Although largeholders' long-short positions and other bullish data remain high, short-term capital is highly likely to force a decline in long positions. Meanwhile, active buy-sell ratio (1.08), account ratio (1.85), and largeholder account ratio (2.15) have not resulted in proactive upward movement, suggesting market confidence has yet to recover. The overall trend of the last 400 candlesticks shows a high point retreat. Despite high intraday volume, the actual activity mainly represents high-level turnover. Capital battles are fierce, but bullish momentum remains weak. ATR and volatility have expanded (67.8771), primarily reflecting increased high-risk decline. ADX (27.9) indicates trend strengthening, but the short cycle may further weaken. In case panic-driven sell-offs occur, if the price breaks below 4246, it is highly probable to rapidly fall into the 4160-4200 range. Although there is some buying support in this zone, upward rebounds are likely to be suppressed by moving averages (below MA5/10). Expect the next two hours to continue seeking a bottom under weakness. Operational suggestion: Short-term wait-and-see. Aggressive traders may cautiously attempt shorting on rallies, targeting the 4160-4290 range, with strict stop-loss if breached. If volume significantly increases and the price stabilizes above S1, consider shifting to a neutral or short-term long position. Risk reminder: Once rebound momentum activates and there is a quick pullback towards the Bollinger middle band and MA20 (4429), it's advisable to take profits on short positions and avoid V-shaped bullish rebounds.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 18, 2025 10:07
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-2h-forecast-2025-upd2801
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.