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Binance ETHUSDT 2h Trend Prediction

Aug 18, 2025 06:40
2h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4160-4280

Mark Price

4270.5

Actual Price

4274.15

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • 当前价格已跌破布林带中轨并临近下轨,percent_b为-0.047081,价格位于布林带下沿,易进一步下探
  • MACD指标dif和macd均为大幅负值,且未现反转迹象,短期强烈看空
  • RSI6为6.9386,RSI14为30.7252,全线超卖,虽可能有技术反弹,但短线空头主导
  • KDJ的J值为负,K值低于D值,动能极度弱势,短线反转信号不明
  • 成交量放大但振幅为负,表明下跌过程中抛压放大
  • 资金费率极低且24h大户多空持仓比与账户数比显著偏多,但现价回落反映多头被动止损,短期或有进一步踩踏
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT在2小时周期内,价格沿布林带下轨运行,显著弱于市场整体趋势。 MACD负值持续扩大,空头动能明显压制多头,尚无见底迹象。 RSI多周期指标均处于超卖水平,尤其是RSI6和RSI14,短期内或有小幅技术反弹,但主趋势为向下,需等待真正明确的止跌信号。 KDJ指标J线已到极低值且继续下行,说明抛盘尚未结束,市场氛围极度悲观。多空持仓比大幅偏多,意味着多头已有相当持仓压力,若无明显反弹配置,后续踩踏风险较大。 当前支撑关注S1=4160,若失守该点,下一个支撑点在3670。考虑到当前成交额和盘口变动,高空头寸的强平压力将持续施压现价。 短线交易建议坚持观望或轻仓顺势做空。仅当价格下探至4160支撑后出现明确成交放量和企稳K线形态时,方可考虑技术反弹布局。 2小时内预计价格呈弱势震荡下行,合理目标区间4160-4280。下破4160建议严格止损,等待新低点出现后再行布局。 总体结论:当前以防御和空头策略优先,强烈建议控制仓位,避免逆势抄底。若见明确底背离或多空指标转变可适时反手。

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(6.9386) rsi12(28.1578) rsi14(30.7252)
  • MACD:dif(-37.2069) dea(-16.0976) macd(-42.2188)
  • MA:ma5(4353.21) ma10(4353.21) ma20(4441.78)
  • Boll:up(4598.32) mid(4441.78) down(4285.24)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6410043.574 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.93%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.7917
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 18, 2025 06:40

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-2h-forecast-2025-upd2794

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.