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Binance ETHUSDT 2h Trend Prediction

Aug 18, 2025 04:23
2h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

4160-4310

Mark Price

4318.01

Actual Price

4258.81

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Percent_b is as low as 0.019634, with the price near the lower band, indicating significant downward pressure and a high likelihood of short-term support breach.
  • MACD's diff and dea are both negative, with the MACD histogram further increasing, signaling strengthening bearish momentum.
  • RSI6 is extremely low at 6.4355, indicating serious short-term overselling, though no clear signs of stabilization have appeared; RSI12/14/24 remain weak.
  • The KDJ J value is -4.3478, entering an extremely weak zone; the K and D lines are also low, showing no reversal signals.
  • DMI indicators show dmi_minus far exceeding dmi_plus, with an ADX at 24.57, indicating a pronounced downtrend, though not yet excessively overheated.
  • The active buy-sell ratio is 0.9003, suggesting that selling pressure surpasses buying activity.
  • Despite a high long-short positioning ratio among large traders at 3.4083, indicating attempts to bottom-fish, the increase in account numbers has not yielded actual stabilization or reversal.
  • Prices have already broken below short-term and medium-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50 are all above the current price), indicating considerable technical downside potential.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently in a significant short-term oversold and weak downward trend. The Bollinger Bands show that the price is approaching the lower band, and the band width has expanded. If the lower band cannot provide effective support (at 4312), the short-term price may further test the strong support around 4160. Both MACD and RSI signals are showing clear weakness, and the short-term moving averages remain in a bearish alignment, indicating limited intra-day rebound momentum. Although current volume is high, it predominantly reflects volume during declines; bottom-fishing behavior has not reversed the bearish trend. DMI and KDJ indicators both confirm the dominance of the bear trend. The strengthening ADX indicates a clear trend, suggesting a quick short-term bottom search. Notably, while some large traders show signs of attempting to go long, buying activity lacks enthusiasm, making rebounds easily hindered. Support and resistance levels are clearly defined. If support level S1 (4160) fails, the price may swiftly decline towards S2 (3670), the previous low zone. If S1 holds in the short term, the downward slope may slow, but the rebound potential remains limited. Recommendation for the next 2 hours: primarily observe the market; for those holding long positions, set stop-loss orders below S1 (4160) to prevent further losses from expanding; aggressive traders may consider light short positions with targets between 4160 and 4310. If signs of stabilization or reversal appear, consider partial rebounds; avoid blind bottom-fishing for now. Risk warning: Even in extreme oversold conditions, sudden large orders can cause short-term upward surges. It is advisable to strictly control position sizes and adapt flexibly to strong intra-day volatility.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(6.4355) rsi12(31.2184) rsi14(40.7088)
  • MACD:dif(-26.2856) dea(-10.7264) macd(-31.1184)
  • MA:ma5(4394.81) ma10(4394.81) ma20(4448.45)
  • Boll:up(4584.62) mid(4448.45) down(4312.27)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:5827164.939 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.97%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.6674
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 18, 2025 04:23

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-2h-forecast-2025-upd2792

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.