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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Dec 12, 2025 20:24
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3000-3050

Mark Price

3076.76

Actual Price

3079.81

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • RSI6 at 9.6078 and RSI14 at 12.3412 are both in extreme oversold territory, yet downward momentum remains strong.
  • MACD at -35.4378, with both DIF and DEA negative, indicates dominant bearish momentum.
  • The Bollinger Band percentage at 0.135704 and the price approaching the lower band at 3033.73 suggest further downside risk.
  • KDJ indicator’s K value at 17.8871, D at 23.196, and J at only 7.2692 demonstrate robust bearish signals.
  • Price at 3076.76 is below all major moving averages, including MA10 at 3138.74, MA20 at 3192.39, and MA50 at 3214.7.
  • DMI shows DI- at 34.8807 far exceeds DI+ at 9.1469, clearly indicating a bearish trend.
  • The negative funding rate of -0.00003126 signifies strong market bears.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The current ETHUSDT technical outlook presents a clear bearish pattern. The price of 3076.76 has broken below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands at 3192.39, and is approaching the lower band at 3033.73, indicating a continuation of the downward trend. The RSI indicator is in overbought condition across all timeframes, with RSI6 at just 9.6 and RSI14 at 12.34, demonstrating intense short-term selling pressure. Although oversold conditions may trigger a technical rebound, the current bearish trend suggests limited rebound strength. The MACD indicator shows DIF at -41.801 and DEA at -24.0821, both negative and deep in the red. The MACD histogram at -35.4378 confirms that bearish momentum remains strong, with little signs of short-term improvement. The moving average system exhibits a bearish alignment, with prices consecutively breaking below key moving averages such as MA5, MA10, and MA20. Currently, all moving averages are acting as resistance, affirming a technically bearish signal. The KDJ indicator’s J value is only 7.2692, entering an extreme oversold state, with K and D values also in low ranges, reflecting highly pessimistic market sentiment and limited room for immediate upward correction. The DMI directional index indicates DI- at 34.88 significantly exceeds DI+ at 9.15, with ADX at 29.34, revealing a strong current downward trend and solid dominance of the bears. Looking at support and resistance levels, the key support S1 stands at 3066.17 and S2 at 2978. If the price falls below the current level, the next target zone is expected to be between 3000 and 3050. The negative funding rate of -0.00003126 indicates a market with entrenched short selling sentiment, with short positions outnumbering longs. This exerts additional downside pressure on the spot price. It is recommended to seek buying opportunities in the 3000-3050 range, but only after confirmation of oversold rebound signals. A stop-loss should be set around 2950, with targets near the 3100-3120 resistance zone.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(9.6078) rsi12(12.8415) rsi14(12.3412)
  • MACD:dif(-41.801) dea(-24.0821) macd(-35.4378)
  • MA:ma5(3071.9) ma10(3071.9) ma20(3192.39)
  • Boll:up(3351.04) mid(3192.39) down(3033.73)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:5085006.047 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.31%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.6550
AI Model Information

Used Model

claude-sonnet-4-20250514

Prediction Date

Dec 12, 2025 20:24

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd4814

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.