Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
3050-3080
Mark Price
3084.53
Actual Price
3068.11
Prediction Result
From a comprehensive technical indicator analysis, ETHUSDT is currently in a clear downtrend. The RSI multi-cycle indicators are all in oversold regions, with RSI6 only at 9.72. Such an extreme oversold condition typically suggests further downward price movement. The MACD indicator shows a strong bearish signal, with the DIF line at a deep negative value and far from the DEA line. The MACD histogram is -40.14, indicating that the downward momentum remains robust. The KDJ indicator's J line has fallen to an extremely low level of 3.35. While there is a technical rebound possibility, the overall trend remains bearish. Bollinger Band analysis indicates that the price has broken below the middle band support and is now operating near the lower band. The percent_b value is only 0.056, suggesting the price is at a very low position within the Bollinger channel. The moving averages show a bearish alignment, with MA5 (3103.35) < MA10 (3173.71) < MA20 (3206.43). From market sentiment metrics, a negative funding rate reflects market bearishness. Although the large trader long-short holding ratio is 2.98, indicating a bias towards long positions, this may be a contrarian indicator, implying retail traders are extremely pessimistic. The current price is at 3084.53, approaching the key support level S1 at 3066.17. If this level is broken, the next target will be around S2 at approximately 2978.0. Considering the current technical indicator setup and market sentiment, it is expected that the price will continue to seek support in the short term. Trading strategy recommendation: Despite technical indicators showing oversold conditions, the downtrend has not concluded. It is advisable to wait until the price falls to the 3050-3060 range to look for support and monitor for rebound signals. If RSI begins to rise and MACD shows divergence, short-term rebound operations may be considered. Risk warning: Although technical indicators suggest oversold status, in a strong downtrend, oversold conditions could persist for an extended period. Investors should strictly control positions, set stop-loss orders near 3040, and avoid blindly bottom-fishing during the decline. Overall assessment: Based on the current technical indicator extreme oversold status and downward momentum, ETHUSDT is expected to continue declining within the 3050-3080 range in the next hour to seek stronger support levels. Investors should remain cautious and wait for clear reversal signals.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Dec 12, 2025 18:18
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd4810
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.