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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Dec 11, 2025 21:06
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3180-3210

Mark Price

3221.99

Actual Price

3249.96

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current Bollinger Band percentage is 0.915955, with the price close to the upper band at 3226.59, facing strong resistance.
  • The RSI6 indicator is as high as 81.1627, indicating serious overbought conditions, with significant short-term correction pressure.
  • The J line of the KDJ indicator reaches 96.8248, an extremely overbought state, signaling a price pullback.
  • The MACD indicator shows DIF at -18.7336 and DEA at -25.2464; although a golden cross has occurred, both are still below zero, indicating insufficient upward momentum.
  • The current price of 3221.99 is close to the second resistance level R2 (3239.27), with limited space above.
  • The 24-hour amplitude is -3.407%, indicating a generally weak overall market trend.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Comprehensive technical indicator analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is currently in a short-term overbought state. The price has approached the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, while the RSI6 indicator exceeds 80, and the J line of the KDJ is near 100, all showing obvious overbought signals. From the trend of the candlestick chart, after a wave of upward movement, the price is encountering resistance near 3220. The Bollinger Band width is 0.019146, relatively narrow, indicating low volatility, but the price has touched the upper band edge. Although the MACD indicator shows a golden cross (DIF crossing above DEA), both lines remain below zero, suggesting that the overall trend is still weak, and the current upward movement is more akin to a technical rebound. Based on exchange data, the active buy-sell ratio is slightly skewed towards buy side at 1.0430, but the large traders’ long-short position ratio of 3.0360, while indicating a bias towards longs, coupled with the overbought technical signals, suggests there may be short-term profit-taking pressure. Support and resistance analysis shows that the current price has approached the R2 resistance level at 3239.27, with limited space above, while S1 support is around 3010, providing significant room for a pullback. Volume data indicates that the 24-hour traded volume is 5.07 million ETH with a trading value of 16.3 billion USDT. The trading volume is adequate, but the amplitude is negative, indicating that overall market sentiment is cautious. Based on comprehensive judgment, with multiple technical indicators signaling overbought conditions, ETHUSDT is very likely to experience a technical correction within the next hour. The target price range is estimated between 3180-3210, which is close to the middle Bollinger Band at 3196 and serves as an important technical support level. Trading strategy suggestion: Consider reducing positions or shorting near current high levels, with a target range of 3180-3210, and set stop-loss above 3240. If the price effectively breaks below 3180, a further correction towards 3150-3160 may occur.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(81.1627) rsi12(58.4549) rsi14(57.2479)
  • MACD:dif(-18.7336) dea(-25.2464) macd(13.0256)
  • MA:ma5(3203.22) ma10(3203.22) ma20(3196)
  • Boll:up(3226.59) mid(3196) down(3165.4)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:5072852.312 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.45%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.7855
AI Model Information

Used Model

claude-sonnet-4-20250514

Prediction Date

Dec 11, 2025 21:06

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd4780

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.