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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Nov 22, 2025 13:24
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

2650-2690

Mark Price

2718.6

Actual Price

2743.03

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger %B is only 0.157419; the price is near the lower band, currently in a downtrend without signs of stabilization.
  • RSI across multiple periods is below 50 (rsi6: 27.44, rsi14: 34.73), in oversold territory, indicating short-term weakness but no rebound signs.
  • MACD DIF and DEA are both negative; although there is slight convergence, no clear stabilization has occurred, and the trend remains bearish.
  • KDJ lines remain low (K: 28.10, J: 18.00), continuing to show weakness without obvious reversal.
  • All moving averages are arranged in a bearish fashion (MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50 < MA200), confirming a clear downtrend.
  • The DMI indicator shows +DI far below -DI (10.87 vs 25.65), with a high ADX at 44.26, indicating dominant bearish control and a strong trend.
  • Despite the active buy/sell ratio and large holder positions being somewhat bullish (e.g., 2.8063), the ongoing price decline demonstrates that bullish efforts have failed, with the dominant trend being bearish.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The 1-hour candlestick chart has been trending downward consistently, with recent peaks significantly broken below, and no strong rebound signals observed in the short term. From a technical indicator perspective, both RSI and KDJ are in clearly oversold zones, MACD remains in negative territory with slow convergence of differences, indicating an ongoing bearish trend without signs of a bullish golden cross. The bullish arrangement of moving averages has completely failed, with MA5 through MA50 all crossing downward, further confirming the characteristics of a unidirectional downward trend. DMI shows a clear advantage for the bears, with a high ADX indicating strong trend momentum; the probability of a short-term rebound remains low. Funding rates are maintained at normal levels but do not signal a reversal of the current weak trend. Although the active buy/sell ratio and large holder positions are relatively high, they have not reversed the current downward trend, indicating insufficient bullish resistance. High trading volume has not halted the price decline; the battle for funds suggests that the bullish players have not yet made a decisive move, likely reflecting passive selling of oversold positions. It is expected that ETHUSDT will trade within the 2650-2690 range in the next hour. If the lower boundary holds as support without signs of a rebound, there remains a risk of a further breakdown. Short-term positions should favor avoiding longs and focusing on shorts or remaining on the sidelines; signals of stabilization and rebound should be monitored for potential entries. Stop-loss can be set above 2710, with take-profit targets near 2650. Strict risk management is required to prevent trend continuation from causing larger losses.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(27.4406) rsi12(30.7703) rsi14(34.732)
  • MACD:dif(-18.14) dea(-18.8628) macd(1.4457)
  • MA:ma5(2721.74) ma10(2721.74) ma20(2745.21)
  • Boll:up(2784.22) mid(2745.21) down(2706.2)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6058460.078 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.49%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.8956
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 22, 2025 13:24

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd4506

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.