Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
2980-3050
Mark Price
3021.17
Actual Price
3009.09
Prediction Result
Comprehensive technical analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is currently in a明显的下跌趋势中。价格从近期高点大幅回落,已跌破多条关键均线支撑,技术面呈现较为明显的空头格局。 Bollinger Bands analysis shows the price is operating near the lower-middle band region, with percent_b at only 0.267915, indicating the price is biased towards the lower band. The bandwidth is 0.10219, demonstrating that volatility remains within normal levels. The MACD indicator is negative across the board with a clear death cross, with DIF line continuing its downward trend, indicating bearish momentum is still being released. Although the MACD histogram has narrowed, it remains overall negative. The RSI indicator shows divergence, with the short-term RSI6 at 68.8559 indicating a recent rebound, but the medium-term RSI12 and RSI14 are both in oversold territory, at 25.5551 and 27.3444 respectively, suggesting the overall trend remains weak. The DMI indicator displays a明显的空头优势, with DI- at 27.794 far exceeding DI+ at 8.3948. The ADX is at 35.0161, indicating a strong trend strength and sufficient downside momentum. Price has broken below key moving averages such as MA20 and MA50, currently operating near MA5. Considering the formation of a bearish alignment among moving averages, it is expected that price will continue to face pressure in the short term. From volume data, the 24-hour trading volume is 6.77 million ETH, with a trading value of approximately 21 billion USD. The amplitude is -3.969%, reflecting high market activity but leaning towards selling pressure. Funding rate is at 0.0001, considered neutral, but the active buy-sell ratio at 0.9122 indicates slight selling dominance. The large holder long-short position ratio is 3.1797, which is bullish, yet the number of large holder accounts is at 4.5340, suggesting possible divergence. Technical target level analysis: Support below focuses on the 3000 round level and the Bollinger lower band at 2935.81; resistance above is near the MA20 and previous retracement lows in the 3050-3100 region. It is forecasted that within the next hour, the price will fluctuate within the 2980-3050 zone with a weak tendency.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Nov 18, 2025 02:38
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd4315
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.