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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Nov 18, 2025 02:21
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

2950-3010

Mark Price

3009.81

Actual Price

2980.02

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current ETHUSDT price is significantly below the middle Bollinger Band, and the percent_b is 0.236932, indicating the price is near the lower band with a clear weakness.
  • All MACD indicators are in negative territory; the dif and dea are both negative, and MACD is negative, showing strong bearish momentum and a downward trend.
  • RSI6 is 56.8177, and the medium- and short-term RSIs (12/14/24) are very low at 23.8302, 26.043, and 34.6614 respectively, indicating severe short-term overselling without signs of rebound. The bearish dominance persists.
  • The J line in the KDJ indicator is higher than K and D, but all three lines are at relatively low levels, indicating that while there are occasional rebounds, the trend has not reversed and may continue downward.
  • The moving average system (MA5 to MA200) shows a short-term lower placement compared to long-term averages, with the current price well below MA200 (3324.24) and MA50 (3129.32), indicating a bearish trend.
  • In the DMI indicator, dmi_minus is significantly higher than dmi_plus, signifying strong bearish strength. The ADX at 35.0161 confirms a clear trend, with strong downward momentum in the market.
  • The 24-hour amplitude is -4.278, with active buy/sell ratio less than 1 (0.9122). Despite a bullish appearance of the long/short positions, the price and indicators show no support, suggesting increasing divergence in capital sentiment and possible passive deleveraging by longs.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently in a clearly weak downward trend zone. Although the price is relatively close to the lower Bollinger Band, the middle Bollinger Band is far above the current price, indicating insufficient reversal momentum and a likelihood of continued decline. Trading volume and turnover remain highly active, but the moving averages are arranged in a bearish configuration and the MACD is negative, demonstrating that selling pressure dominates. Short-term support is unlikely to form effectively. The RSI (12, 14, 24) in medium and short cycles are all in severe oversold territory. Although RSI6 is slightly higher, it still does not generate a short-term rebound, and no obvious signs of stabilization are observed. The candlestick chart shows that recent price movements are generally oscillating downward. Occasional rebounds have not resulted in trend reversals. The dominant movement is bearish, with large account data on longs and shorts showing a clear divergence from price trends. The hedge ratios of large account holdings and the number of accounts are significantly skewed toward the long side, which is indicative of high probabilities of long positions being cut. Market sentiment is severely misaligned with technical signals, warranting caution for further decline. ATR indicates that volatility still has room to increase. As the decline accelerates, prices may further approach the lower Bollinger Band. The short-term downward target is recommended to be set within the 2950-3010 range, serving as a reference for observing potential support. Trading suggestion: Short-term, avoid chasing longs and consider light short positions on rallies. For dips and rebounds above 3000, try small short positions. If the price falls below 2950, further declines are likely. Stop-losses are recommended around 3025 (near MA5), and take-profit targets at 2950 (lower Bollinger Band).

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(56.8177) rsi12(23.8302) rsi14(26.043)
  • MACD:dif(-38.2763) dea(-31.2625) macd(-14.0276)
  • MA:ma5(3021.96) ma10(3021.96) ma20(3093.35)
  • Boll:up(3252.51) mid(3093.35) down(2934.19)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6693229.088 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.0%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.7015
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 18, 2025 02:21

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd4313

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.