Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
3100-3140
Mark Price
3155.37
Actual Price
3159.48
Prediction Result
Comprehensive technical indicator analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is currently in a clear downward trend. From the candlestick chart, it can be seen that prices have sharply declined from a high above 4000 to the current level of 3155, down more than 20%. Regarding the Bollinger Bands, the price is currently below the midline, with a percentage of only 0.36, indicating that the price is tending toward the lower band, and in the short term, it may test the support near the lower band at 3114.53. Momentum indicators show divergence: RSI6 is severely oversold at 14.67, implying a potential short-term technical rebound, but RSI12 and RSI14 remain in a neutral to weak zone, suggesting insufficient momentum to support a strong rebound. Although the MACD shows a golden cross signal, both DIF and DEA are below zero, and their relatively large negative values indicate persistent downward momentum. The golden cross is more likely a technical correction following an oversold condition. The moving average system displays a clear bearish alignment, with prices breaking below the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10, and the gap compared to the long-term moving averages MA50 (3239.34) and MA200 (3409.4) is significant, indicating a weak medium to long-term trend. In terms of microstructure, the active buy-sell ratio of 0.9429 suggests selling pressure is dominant. Although the large trader long-short position ratio of 2.75 leans slightly bullish, it may face profit-taking pressure. The 24-hour amplitude of -1.11% indicates a persistent declining trend. Support and resistance analysis: The key support level is at 3055, a critical psychological support. If this level is broken, further declines toward the 3000 psychological level are possible. Risk warning: Although RSI6's severe oversold condition may lead to a short-term technical rebound, until the overall trend reverses, any rebound might be just a short-covering rally by the bears. It is advisable to wait for clear reversal signals before considering long positions.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Nov 15, 2025 08:37
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd4259
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.