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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Nov 15, 2025 01:17
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

3090-3150

Mark Price

3150.21

Actual Price

3170.93

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current ETHUSDT price is below the MA5, MA10, and MA20 moving averages, with the moving averages arranged in a bearish formation, indicating a weak downtrend.
  • The Bollinger %b is at 0.356, with the price near the middle to lower band and the bandwidth narrow, suggesting a weak consolidation that is likely to break downward.
  • Both DIF and DEA of the MACD are negative; although slightly converging, no bullish crossover has yet formed, favoring a bearish momentum.
  • The 6-period RSI is at 35, indicating a weak trend; the 14-period and 12-period RSI are also in low ranges, showing that the short-term market is not yet oversold but remains biased bearish.
  • The J value of the KDJ indicator is far below K and D, with overall low values, implying that downside energy has not been fully exhausted.
  • The DMI- is above DMI+, and the ADX is as high as 35, indicating a significant downward trend with strong momentum.
  • The trading volume has increased, volatility is negative, and combined with the largeholder long-short and active trading ratios skewed bullishly, suggesting that bulls are still attempting to support the decline, but the main trend persists.
  • The support point S1 at 3055 shows the price approaching this support with no strong rebound signals; a break below could lead to further decline.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has been in a persistent downtrend within the past 1-hour period, with the price clearly breaking below all key moving averages (MA5/MA10/MA20), and the moving averages remain divergent, indicating a short-term technical market bias towards the bear side. The Bollinger Bands show the price operating weakly around the middle to lower band, with the bandwidth contracting but the %b below 0.5. Without strong support or a bullish reversal, it is highly probable that the price will gravitate toward the lower band. The MACD indicator continues to exhibit a bearish downward pattern; although current values are converging, no bullish crossover has formed at the bottom, and short-term momentum remains being released. The market has yet to show signs of a bullish reversal. RSI across various periods indicates dominance of the bear side but has not entered the extreme oversold zone. Coupled with the low position of the KDJ, there remains room for the price to continue downward in the short term. The DMI indicator shows strong trend momentum, with the high ADX suggesting larger future volatility. The primary trend remains downward, so vigilance is needed for accelerated decline. Support and resistance analysis: The current price is only a few points above S1 (3055 support zone). Downward recovery requires observation of support; if the price effectively breaks below, it may further decline toward the target range of 3090-3150 or lower. Trading volume has increased, but both active buy-sell ratios and largeholder long-short positions are skewed toward the bullish side, indicating the market is absorbing declines. The primary trend remains unchanged, with potential for short-term stabilization, but no indication of a trend reversal. Based on comprehensive technical indicators and market sentiment analysis, the price is expected to continue downward within the 1-hour timeframe toward the 3090-3150 range. Should it break below the 3055 support level, further acceleration of decline should be anticipated. Position management should be strict; short-term traders may consider remaining cautious or attempting to chase short positions, with a stop-loss set above 3160. The take-profit range can be referenced between 3090-3110.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(35.4285) rsi12(53.5987) rsi14(50.8208)
  • MACD:dif(-32.8173) dea(-36.6871) macd(7.7397)
  • MA:ma5(3144.93) ma10(3144.93) ma20(3169.72)
  • Boll:up(3238.35) mid(3169.72) down(3101.08)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7841574.238 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.21%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.2283
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 15, 2025 01:17

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd4245

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.