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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Nov 14, 2025 14:39
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

3120-3180

Mark Price

3182.51

Actual Price

3205.13

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • ETHUSDT price has broken below the Bollinger middle band, with a percent_b value of 0.45, positioning between the middle and lower bands, indicating short-term weakness.
  • Despite a slight golden cross in MACD, it remains in negative territory; both the main line and signal line are in the negative zone, dominated by bears.
  • RSI6, RSI12, and RSI14 are all below 50, with RSI24 dropping to 32.24; overall indicating weakness and heavy selling pressure.
  • All three KDJ lines have not entered oversold zones, but K and D values are below 50, implying insufficient rebound momentum.
  • Moving average systems are arranged in a bearish alignment, with the 5-day MA below the 10-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day MAs; short-term and medium-term moving averages have not signaled a bottoming out.
  • Volatility (ATR) is high, and the DMI indicates bearish dominance over bullish, with a high ADX value suggesting a trending and clearly bearish environment.
  • The amplitude is -6.562, indicating recent significant downward volatility.
  • Although long and short positions of major traders and large account data are leaning bullish, active buying versus selling and small investor positions have not translated into price movements, implying the continuation of the bearish trend.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

From the overall trend of the candlestick chart, ETHUSDT has been declining from its peak, with all cycle moving averages still failing to form effective support, resulting in weak short-term rebounds. Bollinger Bands data indicates that the current price is near the lower band; the risk is that a breakdown below the lower band could trigger further downside, with 3055 as the primary support level. In the short term, there is resistance below 3200. Although there is a slight golden cross in the MACD indicator, both the main and signal lines remain negative, suggesting that weak rebounds may be suppressed by bearish traders and a reversal is unlikely at present. RSI and KDJ both show dominance of the bears, indicating a low likelihood of a short-term rebound. While trading volume is relatively high, it is not accompanied by an obvious turning point, implying that funds are more in a defensive or withdrawing stance rather than actively entering the market. The ongoing expansion of volatility suggests selling pressure remains unrelieved. Large traders' long and short positions, as well as account ratio data, indicate a bullish advantage, with market participants showing a tendency for major players to hold control; however, current capital has not created resonance with the price, suggesting that bulls may be awaiting lower entry points, making it difficult to reverse the short-term bearish trend. Overall, it is assessed that in the next hour, the price still has downside potential, targeting the 3120-3180 range. Breaking below 3055 could trigger a larger-scale correction. It is recommended to observe short-term or take light short positions, with stop-loss levels near the lower band, while remaining cautious of sudden bullish rebounds.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(43.814) rsi12(41.7589) rsi14(47.5574)
  • MACD:dif(-55.1716) dea(-58.8227) macd(7.3022)
  • MA:ma5(3149) ma10(3149) ma20(3188.03)
  • Boll:up(3255.21) mid(3188.03) down(3120.84)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:9901323.556 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.03%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.9793
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 14, 2025 14:39

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd4238

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.