Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
3350-3380
Mark Price
3414.84
Actual Price
3475.58
Prediction Result
Comprehensive technical indicator analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is currently in a clear downtrend. From the candlestick chart, it can be observed that the price has experienced a significant decline from the high of 4200, and is now seeking support around the 3400 level. Bollinger Bands analysis shows that the current price is in the lower-middle band region, with a Bollinger Band percentage of only 0.315837, indicating that the price is tending toward the lower band with considerable downward pressure. The upper band resistance is at 3564.3, and the middle band support is at 3454.52. The RSI indicator shows divergence; RSI14 is only 22.7179, entering oversold territory, suggesting a potential technical rebound. However, RSI6 is 42.501 and RSI12 is 45.8186, neither indicating a clear rebound signal, implying that short-term downward momentum persists. The MACD indicator is weakening across the board, with DIF and DEA both negative, and the MACD histogram at -1.5389, indicating ongoing bearish momentum. Although DIF is slightly higher than DEA, the small difference does not signal a confirmed golden cross. The moving average system displays a bearish alignment, with the current price at 3414.84 below the MA20 of 3454.52, also below MA5 and MA10, and only slightly above the 200-period MA at 3434.65. This suggests a short-term bearish trend with some long-term support remaining. The DMI directional movement index indicates a clear bearish dominance, with DI- at 29.9486 significantly higher than DI+ at 17.033, and an ADX of 24.3556, reflecting a trend of moderate strength. This supports the view that prices may continue to decline. From a capital perspective, although the large account long-short holding ratio is 2.7252 and the number of long and short accounts is 2.7608, indicating a bias toward longs, the active buy-sell ratio is only 1.0738, showing insufficient buying strength to support a price rebound. Support and resistance analysis shows that the key support level below is at S1 at 3356.74, with a stronger support at S2 at 3192.92. Given the current technical weakness, the price is likely to test the support zone around 3350-3380. Trading suggestion: Consider entering a light short position at the current level, targeting the 3350-3380 range, with a stop-loss set near 3480 (above the middle Bollinger Band). If the price breaks below 3350, further declines toward 3300 or even 3200 are possible. Investors should strictly control their positions and set appropriate stop-loss levels.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Nov 13, 2025 03:18
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd4193
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.