Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
3400-3450
Mark Price
3472.0
Actual Price
3480.0
Prediction Result
Comprehensive technical indicator analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is in a clear downtrend. From the candlestick chart, it can be seen that the price has been continuously declining from a high of 4200 and has now broken multiple important support levels. Bollinger Bands analysis shows that the price has fallen below the lower band, with the %B indicator at a negative value indicating deviation from the normal trading range, with strong downside momentum. Although the Bollinger Band width of 0.042 is relatively moderate, the price position suggests continued downside pressure in the short term. Momentum indicators are collectively bearish: RSI across all periods is in extreme oversold territory, especially RSI6 at only 3.50, indicating intense selling pressure. The MACD shows a significant negative divergence, and the histogram remains negative, confirming the continuation of the bearish trend. The moving average system shows a bearish alignment, with the price consistently breaking below short-term moving averages. Currently, there is a considerable gap from the MA20 (3551.04), and resistance to upward rebounds is evident. Market sentiment data indicate that the large traders’ long-short position ratio is 2.66, leaning slightly bullish, but deteriorating technical conditions may force long positions to cut losses, further accelerating the decline. The active buy-sell ratio is 1.11, slightly favoring buyers, but insufficient to reverse the bearish technical trend. Support and resistance analysis: key support levels below are S1 (3195.58) and S2 (3192.92). Considering the current downward momentum, the price may test the support zone around 3400-3450 first. Trading suggestion: maintain a bearish outlook with a target price range of 3400-3450. If the price rebounds to the 3500-3520 area, consider adding to short positions, with a stop-loss set above 3550. Risk warning: extreme oversold conditions indicated by RSI may trigger technical rebounds, but until a clear trend reversal occurs, the rebound height will be limited. Investors should strictly control position sizes and set reasonable stop-loss levels.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Nov 11, 2025 17:30
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd4154
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.