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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Nov 11, 2025 17:30
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3400-3450

Mark Price

3472.0

Actual Price

3480.0

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 3472 is near the lower Bollinger Band, with %B at -0.037626, having broken below the lower support band.
  • RSI14 is only 21.25, and RSI6 is even lower at 3.50, indicating severe oversold conditions but still presenting a possibility for further decline.
  • MACD is in a deep negative zone at -21.69, with DIF at -18.66 far below DEA at -7.82, demonstrating strong bearish momentum.
  • KDJ indicator's J value is only 3.99 and K value is 14.99, both in extreme oversold territory.
  • The price has consecutively broken below short-term supports such as MA5 (3498.62) and MA10 (3527.91).
  • DMI indicator shows DI- at 24.19, significantly higher than DI+ at 13.01, indicating that bearish forces dominate.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Comprehensive technical indicator analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is in a clear downtrend. From the candlestick chart, it can be seen that the price has been continuously declining from a high of 4200 and has now broken multiple important support levels. Bollinger Bands analysis shows that the price has fallen below the lower band, with the %B indicator at a negative value indicating deviation from the normal trading range, with strong downside momentum. Although the Bollinger Band width of 0.042 is relatively moderate, the price position suggests continued downside pressure in the short term. Momentum indicators are collectively bearish: RSI across all periods is in extreme oversold territory, especially RSI6 at only 3.50, indicating intense selling pressure. The MACD shows a significant negative divergence, and the histogram remains negative, confirming the continuation of the bearish trend. The moving average system shows a bearish alignment, with the price consistently breaking below short-term moving averages. Currently, there is a considerable gap from the MA20 (3551.04), and resistance to upward rebounds is evident. Market sentiment data indicate that the large traders’ long-short position ratio is 2.66, leaning slightly bullish, but deteriorating technical conditions may force long positions to cut losses, further accelerating the decline. The active buy-sell ratio is 1.11, slightly favoring buyers, but insufficient to reverse the bearish technical trend. Support and resistance analysis: key support levels below are S1 (3195.58) and S2 (3192.92). Considering the current downward momentum, the price may test the support zone around 3400-3450 first. Trading suggestion: maintain a bearish outlook with a target price range of 3400-3450. If the price rebounds to the 3500-3520 area, consider adding to short positions, with a stop-loss set above 3550. Risk warning: extreme oversold conditions indicated by RSI may trigger technical rebounds, but until a clear trend reversal occurs, the rebound height will be limited. Investors should strictly control position sizes and set reasonable stop-loss levels.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(3.5044) rsi12(28.2192) rsi14(21.2547)
  • MACD:dif(-18.6631) dea(-7.82) macd(-21.6862)
  • MA:ma5(3498.62) ma10(3498.62) ma20(3551.04)
  • Boll:up(3625.7) mid(3551.04) down(3476.39)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4198103.294 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.53%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.4118
AI Model Information

Used Model

claude-sonnet-4-20250514

Prediction Date

Nov 11, 2025 17:30

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd4154

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.