Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
3400-3450
Mark Price
3483.99
Actual Price
3449.07
Prediction Result
From the analysis of candlestick chart patterns, ETHUSDT has experienced a significant recent decline after previously rising. The price has been continuously falling from the high region of 4200+, currently breaking below several important moving average supports. Technical indicators have all weakened: RSI series indicators are in the overbought zone of 20-30, indicating heavy short-term selling pressure; MACD indicators are not only below the zero line, but the negative divergence between DIF and DEA lines has continued to widen, confirming a downward trend. Bollinger Bands analysis shows that the current price has touched near the lower band, with the %b being negative, indicating the price has broken below the lower band, which usually signals further downside potential. Although the bandwidth of 0.036775 is relatively narrow, a breakout may trigger increased volatility. Volume data shows a 24-hour trading volume of 4,241,980.452, indicating active trading, but the buy-sell ratio of 0.9935 is slightly below 1, suggesting selling pressure is marginally stronger. The wide-held positions ratio for large traders remains at 2.6846, still leaning towards long, but deteriorated technical conditions may induce long position stop-losses. Support and resistance analysis: the current price is approaching the S1 support level around 3192.92, with a possibility of testing the 3400-3450 range in the short term. If this range is broken, the next key support is near S2 at approximately 3165.41. Volatility indicator ATR is 40.2518, indicating high market volatility. Coupled with bearish signals from DMI indicators, the downward trend is likely to continue for at least a 1-hour cycle. Risk提示: Although RSI is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential technical rebound, multiple bearish technical signals confirm caution. Focus on the support effectiveness in the 3400-3450 range before considering any rebounds. Trading建议: Given the overall technical weakness, it is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see approach or reduce positions moderately. If the price breaks below the 3400 support, consider a light short position within the 3350-3400 zone, with a stop-loss around 3500, and target the 3300-3350 range.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Nov 11, 2025 16:40
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd4151
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.