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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Nov 04, 2025 02:45
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

3550-3620

Mark Price

3624.72

Actual Price

3368.21

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 3624.72 is near the lower Bollinger Band (lower_band=3553.16), with the percent_b at only 0.356, indicating an oversold area but with a still strong bearish trend.
  • All short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20) are above the current price, indicating clear moving average resistance and that the price is within a downward channel.
  • The MACD indicator's DIF and DEA are both negative and in a death cross state. Although the histogram has shortened slightly, the downward momentum remains strong, with no sign of a significant rebound.
  • The J value of the KDJ indicator is higher than K and D but remains in a neutral to weak zone overall, not reaching oversold extremes. Short-term fluctuations are possible, but the overall trend is downward.
  • The RSI indicators at medium and short-term levels are generally in weak zones (RSI6=68.96 higher than RSI14=40.2), showing some technical rebound in the short term, but the overall pattern remains bearish.
  • Large traders' long-short ratios are significantly above 1 (position ratio 2.70, account ratio 4.13), indicating strong bullish positions, but these may be contrarian positions taking on countertrend trades. The main force has not yet reached a turning point.
  • The DMI indicator shows -dmi significantly higher than +dmi, and the ADX is in a strong trend zone (35.37), indicating the downward trend is intensifying.
  • Recent volume has increased in conjunction with the price decline, suggesting active selling pressure dominates the market.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT in the past 1-hour period has been suppressed by multiple technical indicators, with the price continuously declining and currently near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a clear bearish trend. The moving average system is comprehensively suppressing, and short-term rebounds are weak. The MACD death cross has persisted across multiple periods, and although the histogram has slightly shortened, no trend reversal has occurred. The RSI shows slight signs of stabilization in the short term but remains generally in weak territory, indicating that effective rebounds are unlikely during the decline. The KDJ indicator J value has slightly risen but shows no clear turning point, making a bottom difficult to confirm. Combined with the DMI indicator's strong bearish signals and high ADX, the downward trend is more certain. Long and short positions and account balances favor the bulls, but considering volume and candlestick chart movements, the main force may be engaging in short-term bottom fishing, failing to reverse the downward pattern. Future focus should be on changes in large-volume traders’ behavior. Trading volume has increased alongside the decline, indicating that the price drop is driven by substantial selling, with market short-term volatility high but no clear signals of a bottom. In summary, the probability that ETHUSDT will continue downward in the next 1-hour cycle to the 3550–3620 range is relatively high. It is not advisable to blindly bottom fish in the short term. Observe and wait, while remaining vigilant against further downside risks. If stabilization occurs, look for support levels to re-enter the market.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(68.9652) rsi12(36.4323) rsi14(40.209)
  • MACD:dif(-45.935) dea(-50.8837) macd(9.8975)
  • MA:ma5(3614.83) ma10(3614.83) ma20(3653.23)
  • Boll:up(3753.3) mid(3653.23) down(3553.16)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6434563.161 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.24%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.5496
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 04, 2025 02:45

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd3901

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.