LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Oct 23, 2025 23:31
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3800-3820

Mark Price

3850.92

Actual Price

3958.19

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The RSI6 indicator is only 19.78, indicating severe overselling, but RSI14 is still at 41.51, leaving room for further decline.
  • The MACD indicator is negative at -7.0547, with DIF below DEA, showing obvious bearish momentum.
  • The KDJ indicator's J value is 16.42, in a severely oversold region, with K at 31.75 below D at 39.41.
  • The current price of 3850.92 is close to the Bollinger Bands' middle band at 3864.97, but the %B of 0.35 indicates a bias towards the lower band.
  • Negative funding rate of -0.00000139 indicates low cost for short positions, reflecting a bearish market sentiment.
  • The price has already fallen below the MA5 support at 3842.06 and is below the long-term MA200 at 3906.85.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Comprehensive technical indicator analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is currently in a clear downward trend. From the candlestick chart, it can be seen that the price has fallen significantly from the high level above 4600, and is now oscillating and trending downward around 3850. Short-term RSI indicator shows severe overselling, but considering the inertia of the overall downward trend, further decline is expected. The negative MACD histogram continues to expand, indicating strong bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands analysis shows the price is within the lower-middle band region, with a %B value of 0.35 indicating a bias towards the lower band. The bandwidth of 0.026 reflects relatively moderate volatility, but the trend is distinctly downward. In terms of long versus short positions, although the large trader long-short holding ratio is 2.74 indicating a slight bullish bias, the negative funding rate suggests substantial spot selling pressure. The active buy-sell ratio of 1.65, while slightly bullish, cannot prevent the ongoing decline. Support and resistance analysis shows that the key support levels below are S1 at 3815.37 and S2 at 3791.79. Considering the current downward momentum, it is expected that the price will test support in the 3815-3820 region. Volume data indicates that the 24-hour trading volume remains relatively active. However, from the candlestick chart, the clear volume increase during the decline indicates significant selling pressure. Trading recommendation: It is advisable to look for short-selling opportunities in the 3820-3800 range, with a stop-loss set around 3880 (above the middle Bollinger Band), and take-profit targets in the 3780-3750 range. Risk warning: If the price breaks below the 3780 support, it may further decline to 3750 or lower. Conversely, if a sharp oversold rebound occurs, attention should be paid to resistance around 3880-3900.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(19.7784) rsi12(46.9933) rsi14(41.5098)
  • MACD:dif(0.3069) dea(3.8342) macd(-7.0547)
  • MA:ma5(3842.06) ma10(3842.06) ma20(3864.97)
  • Boll:up(3916.26) mid(3864.97) down(3813.67)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:3739537.534 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.58%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.8153
AI Model Information

Used Model

claude-sonnet-4-20250514

Prediction Date

Oct 23, 2025 23:31

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd3695

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.