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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Oct 23, 2025 23:30
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 78%

Target Price

3815-3865

Mark Price

3850.73

Actual Price

3958.19

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is at 0.36, with the price near the mid-line (3865), indicating limited range and converging amplitude.
  • MACD is negative and rapidly decreasing (-6.90), showing increased short-term bearish strength but without significant breakout.
  • RSI6 is very low (20.59), indicating severe short-term overselling, with potential for technical rebound. Long-term RSI remains below average, reflecting a weak consolidating market.
  • KDJ indicator is in the low position, with J value at a very low 17.20, suggesting possible short-term rebounds but no dominant trend.
  • MA5 is significantly below MA10 and MA20, indicating short-term weakness, but remains within the moving averages area with no clear directional trend.
  • Large account long-short positioning and account ratios are both well above 2, showing dominant cumulative funds are bullish. Yet, trading volume and active buy-sell ratios do not show breakout signals.
  • Support at S1 (3815.37) and the mid-line (3865) form a clear range, with defined support below and relatively strong resistance above.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT 1-hour cycle is in a consolidation pattern, with Bollinger Band width relatively narrow, and price fluctuations limited around the mid-line at 3865 and support zone at 3815. MACD is rapidly declining but has not increased volume, indicating that the bear trend has not yet formed an absolute advantage. The RSI6 has entered an extreme oversold condition, suggesting short-term rebound potential. However, the overall RSI and KDJ remain in weak zones, indicating that a significant upward rally is unlikely within this hour, with rebound space limited. Trading volume and active buy-sell ratio show no signs of a breakout by major players. Previous trading data exhibit a gradual decrease, reflecting weakened market activity. Coupled with a negative funding rate, the short-term bearish pressure remains slightly higher. Long and short positioning data, as well as large account holdings ratios, are skewed towards long, but without price-volume confirmation of a breakout. Major players may be positioning, yet the overall trend remains volatile. Signs of a breakout require observation of candlestick body and volume expansion. Support and resistance levels combined show that the current price is very close to the Bollinger Band mid-line, indicating short-term defensive needs. If it breaks below S1 at 3815, a bearish trend is initiated. If it stabilizes above 3865 again, a quick rebound is possible, though no strong trend signals are present yet. Overall assessment: ETHUSDT price will likely oscillate between 3815 and 3865 in the next 1 hour, with a cautious stance. Recommended operation is to wait for the price to pull back to support levels and rebound before taking light long positions; stop-loss if it falls below 3815. Risk提示: Currently, long positions dominate but momentum is yet to be fully released. Watch out for unexpected market movements; focus on breakout directions after candlestick convergence, then follow the trend accordingly.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(20.5895) rsi12(47.2973) rsi14(41.8063)
  • MACD:dif(0.401) dea(3.853) macd(-6.9041)
  • MA:ma5(3842.3) ma10(3842.3) ma20(3865.03)
  • Boll:up(3916.25) mid(3865.03) down(3813.8)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:3766834.338 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.58%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.8153
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Oct 23, 2025 23:30

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd3693

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.