Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

The ETHUSDT 1-hour candlestick has recently fallen back from the high band, with the price center of gravity continuously shifting downward. Currently, it is approaching the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that the downside risk has not been alleviated. The MACD momentum histogram is negative and gradually expanding, with the DIF and DEA lines declining synchronously, showing that short-term bears are in control. The RSI across multiple periods remains in the weak zone of 30-45, indicating market buying strength is insufficient. The short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20) are layered as resistance levels, all positioned above the current price, suggesting limited rebound or adjustment momentum, with the overall trend favoring a bearish outlook. Regarding the KDJ indicator, although the J value shows a mild rebound, the K and D lines have not turned upward. While the number of long and short accounts is relatively balanced, the active buy-sell ratio at market prices remains above 1, indicating that although the bulls are attempting to push, they are still under pressure overall. In terms of support and resistance, short-term support focuses around 4310 (close to the lower Bollinger Band and S1). Resistance above is clearly observed in the 4400-4450 range. If the price effectively breaks below 4310, the short-term trend will test S1 at 4091. The long and short positions held by large traders continue to favor the long side, possibly indicating left-side capital accumulation; however, no obvious turning point has formed. Operations should wait for a clear sign of stabilization before considering long positions. Both ATR and volatility are in moderate ranges, without strong volume expansion accompanying reversals, indicating the market currently lacks momentum for a reversal. Investors are advised to exercise caution in the short term, waiting for effective stabilization signals before attempting to go long; otherwise, it is recommended to keep light positions short or follow the downtrend with the first target at 4310, remaining alert for further declines toward S1 if support is broken.