Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
4430-4490
Mark Price
4497.68
Actual Price
4076.49
Prediction Result
ETHUSDT current technical structure is notably bearish. Short- and medium-term moving averages are all arranged in a death cross pattern, with the price oscillating downward and nearing the lower Bollinger Band, indicating sufficient downward momentum. MACD shows extremely weak directional strength, with a widening negative trend and no signs of attenuation. The 24-hour amplitude remains negative, with no significant increase in volume, suggesting most market participants are observing rather than actively trading. The buy-to-sell ratio is only 0.73, with buy orders significantly below sell orders, indicating a lack of strong resistance to downward movement. RSI12, RSI14, and RSI24 are all severely oversold (below 30). Although there is short-term rebound potential, the bearish atmosphere remains, and combined with weak KDJ lines, the rebound strength appears limited. Although large accounts hold a high long-short position ratio, the proportion of long and short accounts is quite large, which might imply dominant large accounts controlling the market with a bearish stance. Both active buying/selling and volume indicators show short-term rebound is weak, with the main trend still downward. Volatility and ATR indicate short-term range contraction, which could tend toward a breakout. Support and resistance levels show S1 (4438) is near; if this level is broken, the next support is S2 (4123). Any short-term retracements are expected to be limited around 4490. It is expected that in the next 1 hour, the market will experience weak consolidation followed by a downward move, with the target range between 4430 and 4490. Short-term support around 4440 should be monitored; a break below suggests a light short position should be followed. A rebound toward 4490 is recommended to be reduced at high levels. If the price breaks below 4031, a medium-term bearish trend will be confirmed. Currently, extreme volatility should be approached with caution—avoid chasing shorts, with stop losses set above 4510. After consolidating, re-evaluate opportunities for action.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Oct 07, 2025 22:29
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd3521
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.