Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 85%
Target Price
4040-4100
From the candlestick chart, it can be seen that ETHUSDT has recently experienced a significant retreat from high levels, with obvious volume-led decline. The short-term bottom has not stabilized, and trading volume has increased downward along with the price, indicating considerable market panic. The Bollinger Bands percent_b is only 0.08, with the price closely hugging the lower band, reflecting a strong momentum of large-scale downward inertia. Meanwhile, the MA indicators are all arranged in a bearish configuration, with short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10) continuing downward and well below the medium- and long-term moving averages, indicating a typical bearish trend. RSI across multiple timeframes has severely fallen into the oversold zone, showing strong downward momentum. Although there is a potential for a rebound due to oversold conditions, no signs of stabilization or bottoming have been observed, rendering the bottom-fishing risk extremely high. MACD shows all bearish divergence, with no signs of bottoming out. The bearish momentum is robust. KDJ's J-line is slightly stronger, but overall it remains at low levels, indicating weak rebound willingness. Volatility is currently at a high level, with ATR expanding to 44.96. The DMI signal is strongly bearish, with ADX above 50, indicating a very strong ongoing downtrend without signs of weakening. Although the long and short position ratios and major account holdings have previously indicated a stage of bullish sentiment, the active buy-sell ratio is insufficient, and major traders have not established an upward support, with selling pressure dominating the order book, making the price decline difficult to halt due to inertia. Operational advice: In the short term, avoid blindly bottom-fishing as the bearish trend is clear. Focus on continued short-term bottom searching. It is recommended to wait until oscillations stabilize within the 4040–4100 range for further rebound observation. Short positions can be moderately followed with stops set at the lower Bollinger Band and above MA5 (around 4200). Risk warning: If 4100 is supported by increased volume and indicators rapidly recover, closely monitor for signs of stabilization; otherwise, the trend remains bearish, and cautious positioning is advised.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Sep 22, 2025 09:48
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd3344
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.