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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Sep 22, 2025 09:48
1h
Pending
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

4040-4100

Analysis Basis:

  • ETHUSDT price has significantly fallen below the middle Bollinger Band (4361.9), currently just slightly above the lower band (4118.55). The percent_b is extremely low (0.083384), indicating a weak market zone.
  • Multi-period MA (MA5: 4190.16 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50 < MA200) shows a stepwise decline, with short, medium, and long-term moving averages all arranged in a bearish order, indicating strong downward momentum.
  • RSI across various periods is extremely low (RSI6: 1.6982, RSI14: 5.3943), suggesting severe overselling and extreme weakness, but no clear rebound signals have been observed yet.
  • MACD (dif: -77.45, dea: -54.20, macd: -46.50) shows a strong bearish divergence and is far from a recovery point, with high probability of continued inertia-driven decline in the short term.
  • Although J-value in KDJ is higher than K and D, overall levels are low, with limited bullish momentum.
  • DMI signal is strongly bearish (dmi_minus: 61.55, dmi_plus: 2.57, adx: 56.27), indicating a clear downward trend with a very high ADX, signifying trend strength.
  • Active buy-sell ratio from the capital side is only 0.7022. While multiple accounts and major holdings lean slightly bullish, this may reflect left-side bottom-fishing behavior, insufficient to counter current selling pressures.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

From the candlestick chart, it can be seen that ETHUSDT has recently experienced a significant retreat from high levels, with obvious volume-led decline. The short-term bottom has not stabilized, and trading volume has increased downward along with the price, indicating considerable market panic. The Bollinger Bands percent_b is only 0.08, with the price closely hugging the lower band, reflecting a strong momentum of large-scale downward inertia. Meanwhile, the MA indicators are all arranged in a bearish configuration, with short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10) continuing downward and well below the medium- and long-term moving averages, indicating a typical bearish trend. RSI across multiple timeframes has severely fallen into the oversold zone, showing strong downward momentum. Although there is a potential for a rebound due to oversold conditions, no signs of stabilization or bottoming have been observed, rendering the bottom-fishing risk extremely high. MACD shows all bearish divergence, with no signs of bottoming out. The bearish momentum is robust. KDJ's J-line is slightly stronger, but overall it remains at low levels, indicating weak rebound willingness. Volatility is currently at a high level, with ATR expanding to 44.96. The DMI signal is strongly bearish, with ADX above 50, indicating a very strong ongoing downtrend without signs of weakening. Although the long and short position ratios and major account holdings have previously indicated a stage of bullish sentiment, the active buy-sell ratio is insufficient, and major traders have not established an upward support, with selling pressure dominating the order book, making the price decline difficult to halt due to inertia. Operational advice: In the short term, avoid blindly bottom-fishing as the bearish trend is clear. Focus on continued short-term bottom searching. It is recommended to wait until oscillations stabilize within the 4040–4100 range for further rebound observation. Short positions can be moderately followed with stops set at the lower Bollinger Band and above MA5 (around 4200). Risk warning: If 4100 is supported by increased volume and indicators rapidly recover, closely monitor for signs of stabilization; otherwise, the trend remains bearish, and cautious positioning is advised.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(1.6982) rsi12(5.7518) rsi14(5.3943)
  • MACD:dif(-77.4529) dea(-54.2043) macd(-46.4973)
  • MA:ma5(4190.16) ma10(4190.16) ma20(4361.9)
  • Boll:up(4605.25) mid(4361.9) down(4118.55)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4687101.526 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.73%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.3256
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Sep 22, 2025 09:48

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd3344

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.