Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

The current price of ETHUSDT at 4433.89 has crossed below the lower Bollinger Band, diverging further from the lower band at 4454.08, and with percent_b at -0.21, indicating a strong short-term downtrend with no signs of reversal. There is a high probability of continued decline within the 1-hour cycle. MACD in the short cycle is extremely weak; dif (-22.65) and dea (-17.89) are both rapidly declining, and the MACD histogram is enlarging, suggesting sustained bearish momentum without a clear bottom divergence pattern. RSI values across all cycles are extremely low (RSI6 is only 4, RSI14 is only 19), in an oversold extreme. However, the probability of a sharp rebound at this point is low; it is more likely to see a persistent decline towards the lower boundary of the range before finding a bottom. All three lines of KDJ are trending downward; the J value is only 7.4, an extremely low historical level. Major fund inflows have not yet shown signs of replenishment, and short-term momentum is lacking. The moving average system shows that MA5-50 has already turned downward and is displaying a bearish alignment. The current price is below all major short, medium, and long-term moving averages, indicating a dominant bearish trend. DMI and ADX indicators show very strong bearish momentum, and volatility as measured by ATR still has room to expand, indicating the market has continued downward pressure. Although large traders’ long and short positions remain above 1 (indicating some bullish expectations), in the short term, the main funds are likely exiting with stop-loss orders, showing weak buying intent. The account numbers also do not support a rebound, making the market prone to inertia-driven acceleration towards the bottom. It is expected that within the next hour, the price will mostly fluctuate between 4380 and 4440. If a sudden volume surge causes rapid decline, attention can be paid to the intraday support at 4283. However, currently, there is no effective reversal signal; the main approach should be trend-following short positions, waiting for oversold conditions to recover before assessing rebound signals.