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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Sep 13, 2025 17:07
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

4550-4610

Mark Price

4614.74

Actual Price

4627.0

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price is below the middle Bollinger Band (actually below the middle band with percent_b negative), indicating short-term downside pressure.
  • The MACD histogram shows a significant negative value (-40.202), and DIF is below DEA, evidencing markedly bearish momentum.
  • RSI6 at 3.59 and RSI14 are both extremely low, in an oversold state but without a clear reversal yet; caution is advised for inertial downward movement.
  • The KDJ lines are extremely depressed, with J being negative, suggesting a short-term weak market.
  • DMI- is higher than DMI+, and ADX is at 42.99, signifying a strong trending market primarily in a bearish phase.
  • The MA5 is below MA10/20/50, indicating a short-term bearish aligned moving average structure.
  • Although large traders hold predominantly long positions, there is no significant rebound signal; the overall short-term outlook remains bearish.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The current ETHUSDT price is between the middle and lower Bollinger Band, with percent_b at -0.115751, indicating that the lower band has not yet formed effective support and is under short-term pressure. The MACD indicator's DIF and DEA are both positive, but the MACD value is -40.202, representing strong short-term bearish momentum with a risk of further decline. Multiple RSI readings are extremely low (RSI6 at 3.59, RSI14 at only 14), indicating an oversold condition that may accumulate potential for a rebound, but the inertial downward trend has not ended, and short-term correction room is limited. The KDJ lines are severely downward, especially with the J line negative, signaling a phase of extreme weakness with insufficient rebound momentum. DMI- (25.45) is significantly higher than DMI+ (19.07), and with ADX exceeding 40, the market trend is established and primarily dominated by bears. The right-side trading period should follow the trend accordingly. Although both long and short accounts and large traders' positions are predominantly long, the active trading ratio is 0.7637, indicating low bullish initiative, making it difficult to reverse the weak structure in the short term unless driven by capital inflows or structural positive factors. Despite volume expansion, there are no new highs accompanying it, indicating weak support after the plunge; prices are likely to continue seeking effective support in the 4550-4610 range before stabilizing. It is recommended to short or remain sidelined; consider going long only after the price retraces near 4550 with strong support volume and indicator divergence recovery. Currently, it is not advisable to chase shorts or rush to buy the dip.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(3.5914) rsi12(16.9596) rsi14(14.065)
  • MACD:dif(13.9723) dea(34.0732) macd(-40.202)
  • MA:ma5(4651.72) ma10(4651.72) ma20(4700.61)
  • Boll:up(4770.33) mid(4700.61) down(4630.88)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4514039.883 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.33%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3348
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Sep 13, 2025 17:07

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd3228

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.