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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Sep 05, 2025 00:35
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4250-4305

Mark Price

4306.28

Actual Price

4316.79

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is at 0.309, with the price near the lower band, and there is short-term pressure below the middle band at 4340.55, indicating recent downward inclination.
  • MACD indicators show both diff and dea are negative, and the MACD histogram bars are expanding further, indicating strong bearish momentum with no signs of stabilization.
  • RSI across multiple periods is below 50, with 6, 12, 14, and 24 indicators at 64, 30, 33, and 31 respectively, showing weakened bullish momentum and a short-term bearish bias.
  • KDJ indicator's J value at 57.2 presents correction pressure; K and D are not yet oversold, leaving room for further downward movement.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is 0.74, reflecting weak buying intent and a market leaning towards the bears.
  • DMI+ at 18.03 and DMI- at 25.69 confirm a dominant bearish trend, with ADX at 22 indicating trend strengthening.
  • Funding rate is negative, indicating some long positions are paying interest for leverage, which may signal capital fleeing long positions.
  • Support levels S1 at 4254.97 are close to the current price, serving as a short-term downside target zone; breaking below would test support at 4206.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently within the lower band region of the Bollinger Bands. The middle band at 4340.55 has shifted from support to resistance, and the price center of gravity continues to decline, indicating a significant weak market characteristic. From MACD analysis, both DIF and DEA are negative, and the green histogram bars are expanding, suggesting that the bearish trend has not shown a clear reversal; short-term long positions are being continuously liquidated. RSI performance is very weak, especially across 12, 14, and 24 periods, all in the 30-33 range. Market sentiment is pessimistic with limited buying interest. Although KDJ has not fully entered oversold territory, the K and D values are relatively low, making it susceptible to being dominated further by bears. The J value is slightly high, which may trigger further correction. The active buy-sell ratio is at 0.74. Despite the long-short position ratio and institutional long-short dominance being relatively high, the price does not show upward momentum, implying some longs may be trapped or that institutions are shifting positions or conducting shakeouts. DMI and ADX together indicate a trend of gradual decline has been established, with increasing volatility suggesting further downside potential in the short term. In the short term, focus on the first support around 4250. If broken, the next target zone is 4250-4206; if rebounding, 4340 acts as short-term resistance. It is recommended to hold off on new positions or to lightly short on rallies. Overall market volume remains steady but weakening, with no significant influx of capital. Under the current trend, a defensive stance is advisable.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(64.2327) rsi12(30.8693) rsi14(33.1444)
  • MACD:dif(-25.4707) dea(-23.0406) macd(-4.8601)
  • MA:ma5(4312.21) ma10(4312.21) ma20(4340.55)
  • Boll:up(4430.12) mid(4340.55) down(4250.98)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4913341.418 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.56%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.5075
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Sep 05, 2025 00:35

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd3117

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.