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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Aug 29, 2025 10:05
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

4280-4340

Mark Price

4340.91

Actual Price

4337.92

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The price has broken below the middle Bollinger Band and is approaching the lower band; percent_b is extremely low (0.0038), indicating significant downward pressure.
  • All moving averages are in a bearish alignment; the current price is below MA5/10/20/50/200, with short-term and medium-term moving averages pressed downward.
  • MACD remains in long-term negative territory (dif -47.37, macd -28.31), with no clear turning point, indicating a weak trend.
  • RSI across periods 6/12/14/24 are all in oversold zones, especially RSI6 at only 7.07, showing extreme weakness but no reversal yet.
  • KDJ is extremely weak, with J-value negative and K/D values persistently low, indicating insufficient rebound strength.
  • DMI+ (8.28) is far below DMI- (34.90), with ADX exceeding 35, demonstrating strong directional tendency favoring bears.
  • Capital actively buying and selling, the number of long and short accounts, and large-holder positions all lean bullish, but the price trend diverges from capital flow, warning of a possible trap for longs.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The current ETHUSDT price is clearly suppressed by moving averages, with MA5 to MA200 all above the current price, and no signs of rebound in the downward trend, indicating a weak market structure. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands is at 4340.05, while the current price is only slightly above the lower band. The percent_b is very low, typically indicating that the market is at the end of a downtrend, but no reversal structure has formed, suggesting that the downward momentum remains. All MACD indicators are negative, with no bottom divergence observed. Short-term rebound momentum is lacking, and the short cycle remains predominantly bearish. An oversold RSI will encourage some bottom-fishing positions to enter, but the main short-term trend remains weak. The market often undergoes minor oscillations or inertial new lows after being oversold. The KDJ indicator is declining, with a strongly negative J value indicating accelerated decline. Coupled with ADX > 35, there is a high probability that a short-term dominant trend remains as a unilateral bear market. The DMI shows a strong bearish trend. Although bullish capital is accumulated, there is a lack of effective price support, indicating that capital has not formed a force to drive a spot reversal. Under the current extremely weak profile, the short-term price is expected to remain within the 4280-4340 range with continued declines or weak oscillations. A reversal to a bullish outlook is only anticipated after a divergence forms between volume and indicators. It is recommended to maintain a conservative stance with no positions or to take a light short position in line with the trend, with stop-loss set above the Bollinger middle band and MA10 (around 4450).

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(7.0749) rsi12(18.7844) rsi14(31.129)
  • MACD:dif(-47.3675) dea(-33.2087) macd(-28.3177)
  • MA:ma5(4368.39) ma10(4368.39) ma20(4451.04)
  • Boll:up(4562.03) mid(4451.04) down(4340.05)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:5017418.125 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.63%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.0912
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 29, 2025 10:05

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd3040

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.