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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Aug 28, 2025 17:32
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

4420-4460

Mark Price

4488.7

Actual Price

4499.29

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 4488.69 is near the Bollinger Band lower boundary at 4460.45, with percent_b at 0.152025, and prices are approaching oversold zones.
  • RSI indicators are broadly low: RSI6 at 17.67 (severely oversold), RSI14 at 40.87, demonstrating strong short-term downward momentum.
  • MACD indicators show DIF at -14.06, DEA at -2.92, and MACD histogram at -22.29—all negative with widening gaps, confirming a downtrend.
  • KDJ indicators: K at 23.21, D at 36.26, J at -2.91, signaling a strong sell signal.
  • DMI indicators: DI- at 23.58, significantly higher than DI+ at 11.16, indicating dominant bearish force.
  • Price has fallen below all short-term moving averages: MA5 at 4518.11, MA10 at 4557.68, and MA20 at 4548.63.
  • Funding rate is negative at -0.00000042, suggesting that short positions are favored.
  • Active buy-sell ratio at 0.7810 is less than 1, indicating selling pressure exceeds buying demand.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Comprehensive technical analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is currently in a clear downtrend. Price has fallen from a high of over 4800 to around 4488, with a significant decline. From Bollinger Bands analysis, the price is approaching the lower band at 4460.45, with percent_b only at 0.152, indicating that the price is at the bottom region of the Bollinger Bands and may continue testing the lower support in the short term. The RSI indicators are collectively low, especially RSI6 at only 17.67, entering an oversold zone. However, during strong declines, oversold conditions may persist, and it is not advisable to buy the bottom immediately. The MACD indicator fully confirms a downtrend, with the DIF line significantly below the DEA line, and the MACD histogram at a large negative value of -22.29, showing that bearish momentum remains strong. From moving average systems, the price has broken below all short-term moving averages, with MA5 at 4518 acting as a clear resistance, indicating a formation of a bearish alignment. In market microstructure, the active buy-sell ratio of 0.7810 shows pronounced selling pressure, and the large investor long-short holding ratio of 3.445, though somewhat bullish, may face stop-loss pressure. Support and resistance analysis: key support levels are at S1 (4364) and S2 (4310), suggesting potential for further downward movement. Trading suggestion: Given the current technical environment, it is advisable to wait until the price touches the lower Bollinger Band at around 4460 or lower support levels at 4364–4310, and observe for signs of stabilization before considering rebound operations. Risk warning: Although RSI indicates oversold conditions, in a strong downtrend, technical indicators may remain oversold for an extended period. It is not prudent to bottom-fish too early; wait for clear signs of a trend reversal.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(17.6662) rsi12(34.1562) rsi14(40.8722)
  • MACD:dif(-14.0588) dea(-2.9152) macd(-22.2872)
  • MA:ma5(4518.11) ma10(4518.11) ma20(4548.63)
  • Boll:up(4636.81) mid(4548.63) down(4460.45)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:5213921.698 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.56%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.6925
AI Model Information

Used Model

claude-sonnet-4-20250514

Prediction Date

Aug 28, 2025 17:32

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd3009

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.