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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Aug 26, 2025 00:17
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

4206-4365

Mark Price

4366.73

Actual Price

4350.13

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price has essentially reached the lower Bollinger Band (4312.49), with percent_b at 0.119472, indicating obvious weakness.
  • All short- and medium-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50) exhibit a bearish alignment, with the price below all moving averages.
  • RSI across multiple periods (RSI6, RSI12, RSI14, RSI24) are all in oversold territory, especially RSI6 at only 14.53, indicating weak short-term rebound potential.
  • MACD has been diverging negatively, with dif and dea crossing significantly downward, signifying strong bearish momentum.
  • KDJ indices are extremely low (k=13.78, d=18.40, j=4.54), continuing the oversold pattern.
  • In DMI, the minus line is significantly higher than the plus, and the ADX exceeds 40, indicating a very strong, bearish trend.
  • Although the active buy/sell ratio is greater than 1, the positions held by major accounts and the overall account numbers are heavily skewed towards bearishness, indicating weak bullish bargaining power.
  • Support level S1 at 4364 is near the current price; if breached, it will likely rapidly decline toward S2 at 4206.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently in a strong downward trend, with short-term candlestick charts showing a sudden decline. All moving averages are quickly broken below price levels, and the Bollinger Bands are opening downward, indicating an extremely weak short-term market. From various momentum indicators, both MACD and KDJ are simultaneously signaling strong bearishness, a signal that usually implies the unilateral trend will continue rapidly. RSI across multiple periods is oversold, but there are no clear signs of a bottoming or rebound. Although trading volume is high, there is no divergence in volume momentum, indicating the decline is not driven by panic bottom-fishing, and the bearish trend is smooth. DMI and ADX show that the current market is a strong, unilateral downtrend. Looking at support and resistance levels, 4364 is the primary support; however, once this level is broken, the price could fall directly to S2 at 4206 (the previous low and support zone), with technical bears accelerating and continuing. Large account holders' positions are predominantly bearish, with major funds opting to stay out of the market. Ordinary long positions are weak, and market panic effects are significant. While short-term oversold rebounds may occur, the short-cycle bearish structure will not change. The main approach is to follow the trend and maintain a bearish view, paying attention to the support around S2. If S2 is broken, the next targets are the 4200 level and the Bollinger Band external overflow zone, indicative of continuing bearish momentum. For this cycle, bullish traders should exercise caution; without significant reversal signals, it is not advisable to rush into bottom-fishing. The price is expected to fluctuate mainly between 4206 and 4365, and patience is recommended until the market stabilizes.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(14.5347) rsi12(17.0618) rsi14(33.2277)
  • MACD:dif(-92.0089) dea(-71.8791) macd(-40.2595)
  • MA:ma5(4365.75) ma10(4365.75) ma20(4540.59)
  • Boll:up(4768.69) mid(4540.59) down(4312.49)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:9188520.884 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.15%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.8539
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 26, 2025 00:17

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd2945

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.