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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Aug 26, 2025 00:16
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

4185-4315

Mark Price

4364.71

Actual Price

4347.67

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 4364.71 is approaching the lower Bollinger Band at 4311.78, with a Bollinger Band percentage of 0.113, indicating it is very close to the lower band but has not broken through, suggesting continued testing of lower levels.
  • The 5-period moving average (4365.06) has broken below all short- and medium-term moving averages and is also below MA10, MA20, MA50, and MA200, showing an obvious short-term bearish alignment.
  • RSI6 at 14.36 and RSI14 at 33.01 are both in extremely oversold zones, indicating market sentiment is very bearish, and momentum is insufficient.
  • Both MACD dif and dea are significantly negative, with the MACD histogram expanding sharply to -40.7, indicating very strong bearish momentum without signs of stabilization or rebound.
  • The three KDJ lines are clustered at low levels, with the J value at only 3.68, suggesting overselling without a reversal yet, and no golden cross has occurred.
  • The -DI is at 36.85, significantly higher than +DI at 10.78, and the ADX is high at 41, indicating a strong downtrend; the direction is downward.
  • Price volatility is at -8.8%, and both 24-hour trading volume and turnover do not show significant expansion. Price and volume are declining together, indicating heavy selling pressure.
  • Although institutional long holdings and account numbers are significantly higher (3.72 and 2.24 respectively), they cannot prevent the continuous decline, which may also suggest passive long positions locked in losses with limited rebound strength.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The recent price of ETHUSDT has been generally in a downward channel, with short-term moving averages and long-term moving averages all aligned in a bearish configuration, and the current price staying close to the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. The momentum has not yet been exhausted, indicating a high probability of further decline. Major momentum indicators such as MACD and RSI are at new lows, showing no signs of reversal. From the candlestick chart, the overall trend appears as a stepped slow decline. Although there are local attempts to stop the fall, trading volume is insufficient, and panic selling has not been fully cleared. Support and resistance zones indicate that S1 is at 4206 and S3 at 4185, roughly aligning with the historical dense trading area below the current price. It is expected that the short-term will test the support zone between 4200 and 4185. Although the main accounts show higher long positions overall, in a strongly bearish trend as indicated by trend indicators, this merely reflects passive holding by the longs rather than active market participation. Rebound momentum is clearly lacking. Considering the high ADX and the strong DMI bearish signal, it is judged that there is still downward inertia within the next hour. A wait-and-see approach or cautious short positions with small size are recommended. If prices fall to the 4185-4206 range, attention should be paid to whether a stabilization or rebound structure forms. If there is an extreme volume-driven decline (proactive selling), it is necessary to monitor whether this triggers panic emotions and causes a slight rebound. However, the overall weak pattern has not fundamentally changed, so risk control remains crucial.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(14.3635) rsi12(16.923) rsi14(33.0097)
  • MACD:dif(-92.2849) dea(-71.9343) macd(-40.7011)
  • MA:ma5(4365.06) ma10(4365.06) ma20(4540.41)
  • Boll:up(4769.05) mid(4540.41) down(4311.78)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:9188019.619 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.15%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.8539
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 26, 2025 00:16

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd2944

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.