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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Aug 01, 2025 02:28
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3616-3650

Mark Price

3711.75

Actual Price

3719.35

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger percent_b is 0.241617 with the price close to the lower band, indicating potential for further decline.
  • The MACD indicators dif and dea are both negative, with increasing negative MACD histogram bars, showing strong bearish momentum.
  • The RSI6 is at 37.48; RSI14 has dropped to 26.26. Multi-timeframe RSI remains in an oversold or declining momentum state, signaling ongoing downward pressure.
  • KDJ stochastic indicators show K at 30-40, D at only 25, with J modestly rebounded but overall weak, limiting rebound strength.
  • The MA5 is below MA10/20/50/200, indicating a moving average bearish alignment, with a clearly weak short-term trend.
  • The DMI shows dmi_minus at 31.05 significantly higher than dmi_plus at 11.64; the ADX at 32.51 indicates a strong current downtrend.
  • The amplitude of -3.334 and negative futures funding rate suggest substantial short-term selling pressure, with declining volume implying limited rebound potential.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Currently, ETHUSDT is near the lower Bollinger Band, with percent_b close to 0.24. Combined with the worsening MACD bearish momentum and a complete bearish moving average alignment, the current phase remains dominated by a weakness-driven decline, lacking effective signs of stabilization. Multi-timeframe RSI (especially RSI14 and RSI24) are in very low positions, indicating the market is significantly oversold, which suggests the potential for a short-term technical rebound. However, no clear volume-price confirmation has yet been observed. DMI indicates a dominant downtrend; the ADX above 32 reflects a pronounced trending market. Short-term panic selling or liquidation has not yet concluded. The KDJ main line is moving at low levels; although the J value has rebounded, overall momentum remains weak and insufficient to trigger a definitive reversal. This more likely represents an oversold rebound with limited strength. Support levels to watch include the previous low S1 (3616.53), the lower Bollinger Band at 3652.68, and three support zones at 3600 and 3505. Short-term, a drop below 3616.53 could lead to increased decline. While the long-short positioning ratio among major traders is extremely skewed towards longs, the market scene and short-term indicators are unbalanced. Caution is advised for large funds engaging in high-level position offsetting or short squeeze tactics. There is a risk of the dominant players inducing a surge followed by a rapid downturn. Historical volatility and amplitude are rising rapidly, indicating a high probability of testing support on the short-term. Majority of traders are recommended to stay on the sidelines; aggressive traders may attempt light long positions in the 3616-3650 range, awaiting a rebound. With larger positions, confirm a new trend before entering. If the price falls below 3600, prompt stop-loss measures should be taken.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(37.4867) rsi12(35.4921) rsi14(26.2637)
  • MACD:dif(-32.6091) dea(-22.5016) macd(-20.2149)
  • MA:ma5(3696.59) ma10(3696.59) ma20(3774.92)
  • Boll:up(3897.17) mid(3774.92) down(3652.68)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6279346.141 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.53%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.8011
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 01, 2025 02:28

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd2000

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.