Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT has experienced a recent sharp rally; however, the 1-hour K-line has started to retrace. The lower Bollinger Band is close to the current price; if persistent pressure continues or the price breaks below, the downside potential will open. The moving average system is in a bearish arrangement; short-term buying momentum is insufficient, and MA5/10 are increasingly diverging from the current price, indicating a generally弱 trend. The MACD indicator continues to decline without forming a clear bullish divergence, suggesting a high probability of the current downward trend continuing. RSI and KDJ are in extremely oversold conditions; while there is technical room for a rebound, no clear bottoming signal is present at the moment, so rebound potential is limited and the primary trend remains downward. Although large institutional longs appear optimistic based on long position ratios, the active buy-sell ratio and contract market funding rates are essentially neutral. The long and short account structures show decreasing long advantage, indicating that only institutions are holding long positions but retail follow-through is limited. Short-term support levels are S1 at 3525.72; a breakdown would point toward S2 at 3313.01. Resistance levels focus on MA10 at 3631 and the Bollinger middle band at 3676. It is expected that in the near future, the price will continue testing the lower Bollinger Band; a breakdown could lead to a move toward the support zone of 3500–3540. Trading strategies should primarily focus on short positions. If a short-term sharp rebound occurs, monitor for resistance at the Bollinger middle band before opportunistically entering short trades, with stop-loss set above the Bollinger middle band or MA20. More aggressive traders can wait for a very short-term rebound before initiating short positions, while conservative traders should wait for confirmation of a breakdown. Overall, the ETHUSDT 1-hour chart shows a clear downward trend; technical indicators do not signal an imminent bottom. Although the position structure provides some support for the bulls, it does not justify a trend reversal. Close attention should be paid to risk management and key breakout levels.