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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 23, 2025 12:04
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3620-3650

Mark Price

3669.7

Actual Price

3645.41

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band Percent_b is at only 0.198364, with the price near the lower band, indicating a clear short-term bearish posture.
  • MACD DIF, DEA, and MACD all are negative and trending downward; the momentum is expanding, indicating persistent short-term downward pressure.
  • Multiple RSI periods (e.g., RSI6, RSI12, RSI14) are all below 40, signaling a weak overall market with insufficient buying strength.
  • All three lines of KDJ are low, with J-value at 22.5, indicating weak momentum and no power for a rebound.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is below 1, reflecting strong short-term bearish pressure; although the large-value long-short position ratio is bullish, it has not driven prices upward, which indicates capital is engaging in bearish bets.
  • DMI shows DMI minus (dmi_minus) is stronger than DMI plus (dmi_plus), and ADX is above 20, confirming a clear downward trend.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has experienced oscillating downtrend within the past 1-hour candlestick chart; technical analysis indicates short-term weakness. The lower band of Bollinger Bands provides some support, but the price deviates significantly from the midline and approaches the lower band, which may trigger a new round of downward exploration. The MACD indicator shows multiple parameters being negative, and the MACD histogram continues to shrink, indicating short-term bearish market sentiment is building. RSI and KDJ are both in weak zones with no clear signs of rebound, making it difficult to form short-term bullish momentum. While the large-value trading account long-short position ratios and account ratios appear bullish, the active buying and selling ratio is below 1, suggesting insufficient proactive long positions in the short term. Bearish confidence is relatively weak, which may instead foster market expectations of decline. Although substantial capital is positioning for an upward trend, current volume and trend support are inadequate for price increases. DMI and ADX indicate a strong slope of the current bearish trend; volatility (ATR) remains relatively high, warranting continued caution for significant short-term fluctuations. The key support level S1 is at 3525.72, providing some room before current price levels. It is expected that within the next hour, the price will test the lower Bollinger Band (3647.54) and its support below, with a potential rebound occurring only after a retracement, possibly restoring oscillation. If a significant volume-increasing bullish candlestick appears and breaks above MA5/MA10, it can be viewed as a sign of stopping the decline. Currently, it is advisable to remain on the sidelines; aggressive traders may consider short-term short positions with a stop-loss set above MA10 (3689.55). Overall assessment suggests ETHUSDT will continue to weakly oscillate downward in the short term, targeting the range of 3620-3650. Close attention should be paid to support near 3647; if broken, additional downward space will open.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(36.338) rsi12(33.8836) rsi14(38.6293)
  • MACD:dif(-12.4727) dea(-7.3778) macd(-10.1898)
  • MA:ma5(3670.83) ma10(3670.83) ma20(3702.97)
  • Boll:up(3758.39) mid(3702.97) down(3647.54)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6066985.601 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.48%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.6853
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 23, 2025 12:04

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1774

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.